Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 19, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Chaves2 - 4Braga
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rio Ave 2-0 Chaves
Sunday, August 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, August 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Backa Topola 1-4 Braga
Tuesday, August 15 at 7pm in Champions League
Tuesday, August 15 at 7pm in Champions League
We said: Chaves 1-3 Braga
Buoyed by their resounding midweek win, Braga will head into the weekend with renewed confidence as they look to get their league campaign up and running. Jorge's men have enjoyed the better of this fixture and we are backing them to come out on top once again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-0 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Braga |
18.95% ( -0.17) | 22.27% ( -0.08) | 58.78% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 52.27% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.89% ( 0.11) | 46.1% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.6% ( 0.1) | 68.4% ( -0.1) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.75% ( -0.13) | 38.25% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.99% ( -0.12) | 75% ( 0.12) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.65% ( 0.12) | 15.34% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.89% ( 0.23) | 44.1% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
Chaves 18.95%
Braga 58.76%
Draw 22.27%
| Chaves | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 18.95% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.27% | 0-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.3% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.44% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 6.19% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 3.02% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.9% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 58.76% |
How you voted: Chaves vs Braga
Chaves
18.8%Draw
0.0%Braga
81.3%16
