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Champions League
Panathinaikos
Champions League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 29, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Apostolos Nikolaidis
Braga

Panathinaikos
0 - 1
Braga


Cantalapiedra (65'), Carlos (74')
Carlos (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bruma (83')
Niakate (6'), Saatci (79'), Bruma (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Panathinaikos and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Panathinaikos

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Panathinaikos 3-0 Volos
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

Braga

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Braga 2-1 Panathinaikos
Wednesday, August 23 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Panathinaikos 1-1 Braga (Braga win 3-2 on aggregate)

 Needing to cling onto a slender advantage at a stadium where Panathinaikos are seldom outclassed, an injury to Al-Musrati is exactly what the doctor did not order for Braga, who may have to adopt a more cautious approach with the Libyan absent. Jorge's difference-makers in the final third can still create something out of nothing if needed, and while most of Panathinaikos' big-hitters are well-rested, a low-scoring draw will suffice for the Archbishops. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match.

Result
PanathinaikosDrawBraga
34.11% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 26.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 39.17% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.62% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)53.38% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)74.92% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Panathinaikos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.36% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)29.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.31% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)65.68% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.36% (0.0040000000000049 0)26.63% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)61.87% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Panathinaikos 34.11%
    Braga 39.17%
    Draw 26.71%
PanathinaikosDrawBraga
1-0 @ 9.6% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 7.72%
2-0 @ 5.84% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.07%
4-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 34.11%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 7.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 10.44%
1-2 @ 8.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.23%
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 39.17%

How you voted: Panathinaikos vs Braga

Panathinaikos
34.0%
Draw
23.7%
Braga
42.3%
97
Head to Head
Aug 23, 2023 8pm
Playoffs 1st Leg
Braga
2-1
Panathinaikos
Ruiz (51'), Djalo (73')
Niakate (45+5'), Fonte (53')
Mancini (90+5')
Duricic (8'), Arao (84'), Brignoli (86')
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