Lincoln Red Imps will need to take risks as they look to turn around a three-goal deficit, but we think that Shkupi will take advantage of any gaps left in behind the home defence to claim a narrow victory and subsequently book their place in the second round of qualifying. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shkupi win with a probability of 52.23%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 24.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shkupi win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 1-0 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln Red Imps	Draw	Shkupi
24.16% ( -0)	23.6% ( -0)	52.23% ( 0)

Both teams to score 55.4% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.43% (

0.01)

45.57% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.1% (

0.01)

67.89% (

-0.02)

Lincoln Red Imps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.1% (

32.89% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.53% (

69.47% (

-0.01)

Shkupi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.56% (

17.44% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.1% (

0.01)

47.89% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Lincoln Red Imps 24.16%

Shkupi 52.22%

Draw 23.6%

Lincoln Red Imps	Draw	Shkupi
1-0 @ 6.38% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.19% 2-0 @ 3.55% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 2% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.43% Total : 24.16%	1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.6%	0-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.73% 0-2 @ 8.75% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.66% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.09% 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.47% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.22% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 3.76% Total : 52.22%