Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Čair
Shkupi3 - 0Lincoln
FT(HT: 2-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Shkupi 1-1 Lincoln Red Imps
While Shkupi are making their Champions League debut, Lincoln Red Imps are featuring in the qualifying rounds of Europe's elite club competition for the seventh time in their history, and we think that the visitors will draw upon that experience to ground out a draw on Tuesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shkupi win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shkupi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shkupi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shkupi | Draw | Lincoln Red Imps |
50.88% ( -0) | 24.21% ( 0.01) | 24.91% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 54.24% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
