Ludogorets3 - 1Dinamo Batumi
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 20 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Ludogorets Razgrad 2-1 Dinamo Batumi
While Dinamo Batumi's side should be more match fit with their opponents not playing a competitive match in over a month, the hosts have far more experience competing at this level and we expect Ludogorets to get over the line with a victory here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 55.85%. A win for Dinamo Batumi had a probability of 22.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Dinamo Batumi win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ludogorets Razgrad | Draw | Dinamo Batumi |
55.85% ( 0.12) | 21.78% ( -0.04) | 22.37% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 59.36% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.72% ( 0.06) | 39.28% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.39% ( 0.06) | 61.61% ( -0.06) |
| Ludogorets Razgrad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.02% ( 0.06) | 13.98% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.51% ( 0.11) | 41.49% ( -0.11) |
| Dinamo Batumi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.01% ( -0.04) | 30.99% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.71% ( -0.05) | 67.29% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ludogorets Razgrad | Draw | Dinamo Batumi |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.36% Total : 55.85% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.78% | 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 22.37% |
