Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 4, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille4 - 1Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Angers 0-3 Marseille
Friday, September 30 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Friday, September 30 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Gil Vicente
Friday, September 30 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, September 30 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Marseille 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Marseille seem to have bought into Tudor's philosophy, but it seems as though this competition is turning into a psychological barrier for them because there are plenty of quality individuals on this team who have not played up to their potential in the Champions League. Sporting, on the other hand, have been a lot more consistent in Europe this season than in Portugal, and their patience and poise, we believe, will enable them to maintain their 100% record in this season's competition. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.31%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Marseille win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
30.59% ( 0.05) | 23.04% ( -0.02) | 46.37% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 62.89% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
