Champions League

Champions League | Last 16 | 1st Leg

Feb 16, 2022 at 8pm UK

Red Bull Arena

Salzburg
1 - 1
Bayern

(Bayern Munich win 8-2 on aggregate)

Adamu (21')
Kohn (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coman (90')
Coman (83'), Sabitzer (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Red Bull Salzburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Red Bull Salzburg 1-3 Bayern Munich

While Bayern Munich will understandably be the strong favourites to win on Wednesday, Salzburg are likely to have their moments on home soil and they will be confident of getting their name on the scoresheet against a Bayern side who have conceded in four of their last five matches. However, the prolific form of star man Lewandowski should be enough to help the visitors secure a healthy first-leg advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 39.95% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 6.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (5.25%) and 1-3 (4.83%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	Bayern Munich
39.95%	19.77%	40.29%

Both teams to score 78.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

80.95%

19.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

63.27%

36.74%

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.62%

11.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.88%

36.12%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.72%

11.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.11%

35.9%

Score Analysis

Red Bull Salzburg 39.95%

Bayern Munich 40.29%

Draw 19.77%

Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 6.62% 3-2 @ 5.23% 3-1 @ 4.79% 2-0 @ 3.03% 4-2 @ 2.84% 1-0 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 2.6% 3-0 @ 2.2% 4-3 @ 2.07% 5-2 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.19% 5-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 4.23% Total : 39.95%	2-2 @ 7.22% 1-1 @ 6.09% 3-3 @ 3.8% 0-0 @ 1.28% 4-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.25% Total : 19.77%	1-2 @ 6.64% 2-3 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 4.83% 0-2 @ 3.06% 2-4 @ 2.86% 0-1 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 2.22% 3-4 @ 2.08% 2-5 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.21% 1-5 @ 1.15% 3-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.38% Total : 40.29%