Champions League | Last 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 16, 2022 at 8pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Salzburg1 - 1Bayern
We said: Red Bull Salzburg 1-3 Bayern Munich
While Bayern Munich will understandably be the strong favourites to win on Wednesday, Salzburg are likely to have their moments on home soil and they will be confident of getting their name on the scoresheet against a Bayern side who have conceded in four of their last five matches. However, the prolific form of star man Lewandowski should be enough to help the visitors secure a healthy first-leg advantage. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 39.95% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 6.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (5.25%) and 1-3 (4.83%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 39.95% | 19.77% | 40.29% |
| Both teams to score 78.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
