Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 7, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Rajko Mitic
Red Star1 - 2RB Leipzig
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Red Star
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Mainz 2-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Red Star Belgrade 1-2 RB Leipzig
Leipzig ought to have learned their lesson about risky plays out from the back following their meeting with Red Star a fortnight ago, and their recent failures domestically should offer the hosts quite the injection of confidence. Quelling Rose's effervescent young attackers is another matter entirely for the Serbian champions, though, and we have faith in Leipzig to rectify their recent defeats and advance to the knockout stages by virtue of a hard-fought victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 37.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.78%) and 2-0 (4.99%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for RB Leipzig in this match.
Result | ||
Red Star Belgrade | Draw | RB Leipzig |
39.8% ( 1.45) | 22.65% ( -0.55) | 37.54% ( -0.89) |
Both teams to score 66.71% ( 2.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.92% ( 2.8) | 34.07% ( -2.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.05% ( 3.1) | 55.94% ( -3.1) |
Red Star Belgrade Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.17% ( 1.84) | 17.82% ( -1.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.43% ( 3.09) | 48.56% ( -3.09) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.18% ( 0.81) | 18.82% ( -0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.75% ( 1.34) | 50.25% ( -1.34) |
Score Analysis |
Red Star Belgrade 39.8%
RB Leipzig 37.54%
Draw 22.65%
Red Star Belgrade | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.49) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.29) 3-2 @ 4% ( 0.33) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.23) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.11) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.05% Total : 39.8% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.56) 2-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.51) 3-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.24) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.68) 0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.44) 1-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.54% |
How you voted: Red Star vs RB Leipzig
Red Star Belgrade
18.8%Draw
15.2%RB Leipzig
66.1%112
Head to Head
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-05 15:19:23
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 45 | 17 | 28 | 45 |
2 | Arsenal | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 40 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Chelsea | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 36 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 34 |
7 | Bournemouth | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 33 |
8 | Aston Villa | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 32 |
9 | Fulham | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 29 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Brentford | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 27 |
12 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 24 |
13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 23 |
14 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 22 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 21 |
16 | Everton | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 17 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 15 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 44 | -32 | 6 |
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