Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 25, 2023 at 8pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
3 - 1
Red Star

Raum (12'), Simons (59'), Olmo (84')
Henrichs (28')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Stamenic (70')
Stamenic (34'), Rodic (45+3'), In-beom (46'), Djiga (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between RB Leipzig and Red Star Belgrade, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 1-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Red Star Belgrade

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Red Star 2-2 Young Boys
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 Red Star Belgrade

Leipzig will know the importance of collecting all three points in this match, as it would likely put them in an incredibly strong position to progress from Group G. Red Star will be no pushovers, though, having shown plenty of resolve in their first two matches. While we can see them threatening the hosts on occasions, Rose's side should have too much quality in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.11%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Red Star Belgrade
44.49% ( 0.03)	23.19% ( -0.01)	32.32% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 63.26% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.97% (

0.05)

38.03% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.71% (

0.05)

60.29% (

-0.05)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.48% (

0.03)

17.52% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.97% (

0.05)

48.03% (

-0.05)

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.69% (

0.01)

23.31% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.75% (

0.02)

57.25% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 44.49%

Red Star Belgrade 32.32%

Draw 23.18%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Red Star Belgrade
2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.2% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 4% Total : 44.49%	1-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.18%	1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 32.32%