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Champions League header

Champions League
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 10, 2024 at 6pm UK
LNK Sporta Parks
Larne

RFS
3 - 0
Larne

Kigurs (30'), Balodis (49'), Panic (60')
Ikaunieks (45+3'), Kouadio (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Altintop (38'), Donnelly (42'), Bolger (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Rigas Futbola Skola and Larne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rigas Futbola Skola

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Sabah 2-1 RFS
Thursday, August 3 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Larne

All competitions
Last Game: Larne 5-0 Coleraine
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

We said: Rigas Futbola Skola 2-1 Larne

 Larne have lost three of their previous five away matches in UEFA competition (D2), and we think that they will experience more disappointment on their European travels, especially as RFS have won nine of their last 10 home matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rigas Futbola Skola win with a probability of 62.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Larne had a probability of 16.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rigas Futbola Skola win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Larne win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rigas Futbola Skola would win this match.

Result
Rigas Futbola SkolaDrawLarne
62.43% (-0.589 -0.59) 20.65% (0.171 0.17) 16.92% (0.419 0.42)
Both teams to score 53.7% (0.327 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.74% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)42.26% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.33% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)64.67% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Rigas Futbola Skola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.03% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)12.97% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.54% (-0.36 -0.36)39.46% (0.361 0.36)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.7% (0.501 0.5)38.3% (-0.5 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.94% (0.477 0.48)75.06% (-0.476 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Rigas Futbola Skola 62.42%
    Larne 16.92%
    Draw 20.65%
Rigas Futbola SkolaDrawLarne
2-0 @ 10.36% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-0 @ 10.14% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.06% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 6.77% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.6% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.46% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.66% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.47% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.41% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 62.42%
1-1 @ 9.74% (0.074 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.65%
0-1 @ 4.77% (0.067 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.67% (0.098 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.29% (0.063 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.49% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 16.92%

How you voted: RFS vs Larne

Rigas Futbola Skola
71.4%
Draw
16.3%
Larne
12.2%
49
rhs 2.0
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