Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 19, 2021 at 8pm UK
Donbass Arena
Shakhtar0 - 5Real Madrid
The Match
Team News
Real Madrid boss Carlo Ancelotti selects Ferland Mendy in his starting side for Tuesday's Champions League clash with Shakhtar Donetsk.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Tuesday's Champions League clash with Shakhtar Donetsk.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Shakhtar Donetsk.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 52.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 22.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 1-0 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 22.11% | 25.73% | 52.16% |
| Both teams to score 46.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.01% | 55.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.92% | 77.08% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.4% | 40.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.81% | 77.2% |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.48% | 21.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.42% | 54.58% |
| Score Analysis |
Shakhtar Donetsk 22.11%
Real Madrid 52.15%
Draw 25.72%
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 7.88% 2-1 @ 5.45% 2-0 @ 3.55% 3-1 @ 1.64% 3-2 @ 1.26% 3-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.27% Total : 22.11% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 8.74% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 13.42% 0-2 @ 10.3% 1-2 @ 9.29% 0-3 @ 5.28% 1-3 @ 4.76% 2-3 @ 2.15% 0-4 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 1.83% Other @ 3.1% Total : 52.15% |
How you voted: Shakhtar vs Real Madrid
Shakhtar Donetsk
15.3%Draw
10.5%Real Madrid
74.2%314
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2020 5.55pm
Oct 21, 2020 5.55pm
Group Stage
Real Madrid
2-3
Shakhtar
Nov 25, 2015 7.45pm
Group Stage
Shakhtar
3-4
Real Madrid
Sep 15, 2015 7.45pm
Group Stage
Real Madrid
4-0
Shakhtar
Form Guide
Build-up
How Real Madrid could line up against Shakhtar Donetsk
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Tuesday's Champions League clash with Shakhtar Donetsk.
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