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St Patrick's Athletic
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 21
Jun 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Richmond Park
Shamrock Rovers

St Patrick's
2 - 1
Shamrock

Keating (76'), Kavanagh (90+6')
Grivosti (17'), Redmond (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kenny (32')
Poom (58'), Steacy (71'), Byrne (89'), Watts (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League of Ireland Premier clash between St Patrick's Athletic and Shamrock Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Drogheda 0-0 St Patrick's
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 0-2 Shamrock
Friday, May 31 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: St Patrick's Athletic 0-2 Shamrock Rovers

While Shamrock Rovers may continue to field a makeshift back line due to an unenviable injury list, they certainly have the quality to put a run of results together once they kick into gear, and with the chance to make it back-to-back wins while keeping games in hand on the top two, we back them to make that quality count in an away victory on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 51.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 1-0 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
St Patrick's AthleticDrawShamrock Rovers
22.28% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 26.43% (0.0040000000000013 0) 51.29% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 44.92% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.68% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)58.32% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)78.94% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.24% (0.026999999999994 0.03)41.76% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.77% (0.024000000000001 0.02)78.23% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Shamrock Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.13% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)22.87% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.39% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)56.61% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    St Patrick's Athletic 22.28%
    Shamrock Rovers 51.28%
    Draw 26.43%
St Patrick's AthleticDrawShamrock Rovers
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 5.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 22.28%
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 9.55% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 3.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 14.09%
0-2 @ 10.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.08% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 5.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.89% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 51.28%

How you voted: St Patrick's vs Shamrock

St Patrick's Athletic
25.0%
Draw
32.1%
Shamrock Rovers
42.9%
28
Head to Head
May 10, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Shamrock
2-2
St Patrick's
Greene (4'), Cleary (60')
Lopes (41'), Poom (87')
Turner (23'), Melia (64')
Keating (45+1'), Breslin (51'), Redmond (73'), Forrester (87')
Apr 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
St Patrick's
2-1
Shamrock
Redmond (53'), Nolan (56')
Lennon (63')
Nugent (4')
Watts (47'), Poom (49'), Greene (64'), Cleary (90')
Oct 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 35
St Patrick's
0-2
Shamrock

Lonergan (40')
Greene (84'), Burke (90+2')
Finn (25'), Bradley (26'), Poom (30'), Watts (80'), Towell (88'), Kavanagh (90+7')
May 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 24
Shamrock
3-2
St Patrick's
Grace (45+2'), Towell (68', 89' pen.)
Doyle (28'), McCormack (84')
Apr 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
St Patrick's
0-2
Shamrock
Kenny (20'), Clarke (69')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shelbourne361712740271363
2Shamrock RoversShamrock361710950351561
3St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's361781151371459
4Derry CityDerry361413948311755
5Galway United361313103329452
6Sligo RoversSligo361310134051-1149
7Waterford UnitedWaterford36136174347-445
8Bohemians361012143943-442
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda36713164158-1734
10DundalkDundalk36511202350-2726


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