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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Rotherham logo

Birmingham
2 - 0
Rotherham

Khadra (5'), Long (35')
Trusty (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Odofin (29'), Hjelde (45+2'), Fosu (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 3-1 QPR
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Rotherham United

Birmingham have not been convincing in their performances for a long time, with their good early-season form the reason why they are not in more danger at the foot of the Championship. Despite a lack of options in defence, the Millers have shown enough quality to survive at this level and should be confident of earning a point at St Andrew's on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 46.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 26.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawRotherham United
46.29% (0.70399999999999 0.7) 27.23% (-0.427 -0.43) 26.49% (-0.271 -0.27)
Both teams to score 46.64% (0.967 0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.9% (1.337 1.34)58.1% (-1.333 -1.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.24% (1.039 1.04)78.76% (-1.035 -1.04)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91% (0.95500000000001 0.96)25.09% (-0.951 -0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.21% (1.301 1.3)59.79% (-1.297 -1.3)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.26% (0.508 0.51)37.74% (-0.504 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.49% (0.491 0.49)74.51% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 46.28%
    Rotherham United 26.49%
    Draw 27.22%
Birmingham CityDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 13.09% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-0 @ 9.05% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.156 0.16)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.129 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.18 0.18)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.114 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.083 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 46.28%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 9.47% (-0.491 -0.49)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.134 0.13)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 9.23% (-0.346 -0.35)
1-2 @ 6.22% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 26.49%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Rotherham

Birmingham City
51.7%
Draw
24.1%
Rotherham United
24.1%
29
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Rotherham
2-0
Birmingham
Wood (28', 71')
Rathbone (41')

Deeney (41'), James (45+2')
Apr 18, 2021 12pm
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Birmingham
1-1
Rotherham
Bela (90' pen.)
Sunjic (72')
Sadlier (87' pen.)
MacDonald (45+1')
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Rotherham
1-3
Birmingham
Crooks (22')
Ajayi (5'), Wood (50'), Vaulks (73')
Maghoma (56'), Jota (63'), Mrabti (93')
Gardner (75')
Oct 6, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd39267656292783
2Leeds UnitedLeeds392312478275181
3Burnley392215253114281
4Sunderland392012756371972
5Coventry CityCoventry39178145651559
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom391318848351357
7Middlesbrough391691459491057
8Bristol City391415104942757
9Watford39158164751-453
10Norwich CityNorwich391313136154752
11Blackburn RoversBlackburn39157174241152
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds391410155460-652
13Millwall391312143740-351
14Preston North EndPreston391017123946-747
15Queens Park RangersQPR391112164553-845
16Swansea CitySwansea39129184051-1145
17Portsmouth39129184761-1445
18Stoke CityStoke391012174052-1242
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd391012174057-1742
20Derby CountyDerby39118204251-941
21Hull City391011183948-941
22Cardiff CityCardiff39913174363-2040
23Luton TownLuton39108213560-2538
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth39713194077-3734


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