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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Rotherham logo

Birmingham
2 - 0
Rotherham

Khadra (5'), Long (35')
Trusty (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Odofin (29'), Hjelde (45+2'), Fosu (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 3-1 QPR
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Rotherham United

Birmingham have not been convincing in their performances for a long time, with their good early-season form the reason why they are not in more danger at the foot of the Championship. Despite a lack of options in defence, the Millers have shown enough quality to survive at this level and should be confident of earning a point at St Andrew's on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 46.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 26.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawRotherham United
46.29% (0.70399999999999 0.7) 27.23% (-0.427 -0.43) 26.49% (-0.271 -0.27)
Both teams to score 46.64% (0.967 0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.9% (1.337 1.34)58.1% (-1.333 -1.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.24% (1.039 1.04)78.76% (-1.035 -1.04)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91% (0.95500000000001 0.96)25.09% (-0.951 -0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.21% (1.301 1.3)59.79% (-1.297 -1.3)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.26% (0.508 0.51)37.74% (-0.504 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.49% (0.491 0.49)74.51% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 46.28%
    Rotherham United 26.49%
    Draw 27.22%
Birmingham CityDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 13.09% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-0 @ 9.05% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.156 0.16)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.129 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.18 0.18)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.114 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.083 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 46.28%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 9.47% (-0.491 -0.49)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.134 0.13)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 9.23% (-0.346 -0.35)
1-2 @ 6.22% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 26.49%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Rotherham

Birmingham City
51.7%
Draw
24.1%
Rotherham United
24.1%
29
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Rotherham
2-0
Birmingham
Wood (28', 71')
Rathbone (41')

Deeney (41'), James (45+2')
Apr 18, 2021 12pm
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Birmingham
1-1
Rotherham
Bela (90' pen.)
Sunjic (72')
Sadlier (87' pen.)
MacDonald (45+1')
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Rotherham
1-3
Birmingham
Crooks (22')
Ajayi (5'), Wood (50'), Vaulks (73')
Maghoma (56'), Jota (63'), Mrabti (93')
Gardner (75')
Oct 6, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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