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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 46.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 26.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Rotherham United |
46.29% ( 0.7) | 27.23% ( -0.43) | 26.49% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 46.64% ( 0.97) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.9% ( 1.34) | 58.1% ( -1.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.24% ( 1.04) | 78.76% ( -1.04) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.91% ( 0.96) | 25.09% ( -0.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.21% ( 1.3) | 59.79% ( -1.3) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.26% ( 0.51) | 37.74% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.49% ( 0.49) | 74.51% ( -0.49) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Rotherham United |
1-0 @ 13.09% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.26% Total : 46.28% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.49) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.35) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.67% Total : 26.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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