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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
QPR logo

Rotherham
3 - 1
QPR

Hugill (15', 70' pen.), Odofin (90')
Hugill (34'), Harding (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lowe (83' pen.)
Adomah (42'), Field (49'), Dickie (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Rotherham
Monday, February 27 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-3 Blackburn
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 2-1 Queens Park Rangers

QPR are lacking any real confidence and missing several key players, and even though Ainsworth will hope to lift his new side with a much-needed result, we see them falling short away at a Rotherham side who have impressed in South Yorkshire this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawQueens Park Rangers
38.35% (0.26 0.26) 27.08% (-0.129 -0.13) 34.56% (-0.132 -0.13)
Both teams to score 50.52% (0.381 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.19% (0.489 0.49)54.81% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.89% (0.402 0.4)76.12% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.23% (0.383 0.38)27.77% (-0.384 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.65% (0.487 0.49)63.35% (-0.488 -0.49)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.94% (0.15899999999999 0.16)30.06% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.81% (0.191 0.19)66.19% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 38.35%
    Queens Park Rangers 34.56%
    Draw 27.08%
Rotherham UnitedDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 10.69% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.057 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.85% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.52% (0.061 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.93% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 38.35%
1-1 @ 12.85% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.35% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.08%
0-1 @ 10.03% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 6.03% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.42% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 34.56%

How you voted: Rotherham vs QPR

Rotherham United
60.0%
Draw
35.0%
Queens Park Rangers
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
QPR
1-1
Rotherham
Willock (43')
Dickie (29'), Dozzell (64'), Field (74')
Ogbene (33')
Humphreys (64'), Johansson (90+5')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Third Round
QPR
1-1
Rotherham
QPR win 8-7 on penalties
Dykes (115')
Johansen (16')
Ihiekwe (98')
Lindsay (99'), Harding (110')
Apr 13, 2021 7pm
Rotherham
3-1
QPR
Ladapo (64', 66'), Smith (90')
MacDonald (38'), MacDonald (41'), Smith (70'), Wood (75')
Dykes (52')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
QPR
3-2
Rotherham
Chair (20'), Osayi-Samuel (45+1'), Dykes (45+3' pen.)
Smith (38'), Ladapo (84')
Wiles (45+2'), Ihiekwe (80'), Crooks (90+1')
Mar 13, 2019 7.45pm
QPR
1-2
Rotherham
Osayi-Samuel (85')
Bidwell (43'), Furlong (94')
Ajayi (71', 95')
Mattock (17')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.20am
Bills
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Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Swansea CitySwansea732285311
10Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall7223121028
16Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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