We said: Reading 1-1 Rotherham United
Reading are beginning to look over their shoulder after a poor run of results, however a home tie with Rotherham is a decent opportunity to get back to winning ways.
The Millers are not pushovers like second-tier Rotherham sides of the past, and we feel they have enough to earn a point in Berkshire on Tuesday night.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 50.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.