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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The DW Stadium
Birmingham logo

Wigan
1 - 1
Birmingham

Fletcher (59')
Sinani (13'), McClean (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bacuna (4')
Bacuna (30'), Chang (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Wigan Athletic and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 2-1 Wigan
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Luton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-1 Birmingham City

Wigan showed glimpses of good play in their defeat at Preston last weekend, and they will certainly be targeting the visit of struggling Birmingham as a game to collect maximum points from as they bid to stay in the Championship. Blues have a host of injury doubts hovering over them ahead of a massively important afternoon in Wigan on Saturday, but given the full week to prepare, we believe that Eustace's should be able to earn a point in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawBirmingham City
38.06% (1.229 1.23) 27.19% (-0.277 -0.28) 34.75% (-0.951 -0.95)
Both teams to score 50.23% (0.787 0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.81% (1.02 1.02)55.19% (-1.019 -1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.57% (0.834 0.83)76.43% (-0.83199999999999 -0.83)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.89% (1.224 1.22)28.11% (-1.222 -1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (1.526 1.53)63.79% (-1.523 -1.52)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.87% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)30.13% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.73% (-0.113 -0.11)66.27% (0.116 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 38.06%
    Birmingham City 34.75%
    Draw 27.18%
Wigan AthleticDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.74% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.212 0.21)
2-0 @ 6.82% (0.194 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.46% (0.202 0.2)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.176 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.117 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.099 0.1)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 38.06%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 8.47% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.114 0.11)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 10.16% (-0.43 -0.43)
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.1% (-0.278 -0.28)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.04 0.04)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 34.75%

How you voted: Wigan vs Birmingham

Wigan Athletic
Draw
Birmingham City
Wigan Athletic
46.2%
Draw
38.5%
Birmingham City
15.4%
26
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Birmingham
2-3
Wigan
Mrabti (39'), Maghoma (81')
Windass (9', 50'), Kipre (73')
Byrne (87')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Wigan
0-3
Birmingham

Burn (90')
Adams (26'), Morrison (45'), Maghoma (61')
Maghoma (64'), Gardner (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Burnley452716266155197
2Leeds UnitedLeeds442713489296094
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City441716115749867
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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