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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Luton Town

Birmingham
0 - 1
Luton


Roberts (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morris (47')
Doughty (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Luton Town

Birmingham were beginning to get their small squad back to full fitness before injuries in key areas hit the camp in recent matches, and the XI on the pitch have failed to impress over the past week. Luton will be targeting a trip to a half-empty St Andrew's as a chance to get back to winning ways, and we believe that they will do just that on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-2 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawLuton Town
27.63% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 28.35% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 44.01% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.38% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.65% (0.017000000000003 0.02)61.35% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.74% (0.010999999999999 0.01)81.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)38.58% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.68% (0.004999999999999 0)75.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.24% (0.013000000000005 0.01)27.75% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.67% (0.015999999999998 0.02)63.33% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 27.62%
    Luton Town 44.01%
    Draw 28.34%
Birmingham CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.86% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 1.98% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.54%
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 27.62%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 10.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.34%
0-1 @ 13.72%
0-2 @ 8.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 8.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 3.76% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 44.01%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Luton

Birmingham City
27.2%
Draw
24.7%
Luton Town
48.1%
81
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Luton
0-5
Birmingham

Rea (34')
Roberts (7'), Hogan (26', 47'), Gardner (84'), Aneke (88')
Roberts (4')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Luton
1-1
Birmingham
Pearson (37')
Rea (73')
Jutkiewicz (23' pen.)
Dean (48')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Swansea CitySwansea732285311
10Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall7223121028
16Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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