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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-2 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Luton Town |
27.63% ( -0) | 28.35% ( -0.01) | 44.01% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 44.38% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.65% ( 0.02) | 61.35% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.74% ( 0.01) | 81.26% ( -0.01) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.42% ( 0.01) | 38.58% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.68% ( 0) | 75.32% ( -0) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.24% ( 0.01) | 27.75% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.67% ( 0.02) | 63.33% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.23% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.86% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.98% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.54% 3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 27.62% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.34% | 0-1 @ 13.72% 0-2 @ 8.8% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.72% Total : 44.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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