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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Birmingham City |
49.36% ( 0.12) | 26.48% ( -0) | 24.16% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 46.74% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.04% ( -0.07) | 56.96% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.14% ( -0.06) | 77.86% ( 0.06) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.85% ( 0.02) | 23.15% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.98% ( 0.03) | 57.02% ( -0.03) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.83% ( -0.15) | 39.17% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.12% ( -0.14) | 75.89% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 13.26% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.1% 3-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 49.36% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.46% Total : 24.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 16 |
2 | Sunderland | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
3 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Burnley | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 14 |
5 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 14 |
6 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 13 |
7 | Watford | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
11 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
12 | Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
13 | Derby CountyDerby | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
14 | Bristol City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
15 | Millwall | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 8 |
16 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 6 |
21 | Coventry CityCoventry | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
22 | Preston North EndPreston | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
23 | Portsmouth | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 4 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 1 |
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