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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 16, 2021 at 6pm UK
Ewood Park
Derby logo

Blackburn
2 - 1
Derby

Gallagher (42'), Elliott (66')
Holtby (32'), Elliott (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lawrence (22')
Clarke (45+1')

The Match

Match Report

The Rams remain fourth from bottom, four points above Rotherham who have three games in hand.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawDerby County
44.13%27.63%28.23%
Both teams to score 46.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.36%58.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.81%79.19%
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58%26.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41%61.58%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.4%36.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.62%73.38%
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 44.13%
    Derby County 28.23%
    Draw 27.63%
Blackburn RoversDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 12.86%
2-1 @ 8.61%
2-0 @ 8.56%
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-0 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 1.92%
4-1 @ 1.27%
4-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 44.13%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 9.67%
2-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 9.72%
1-2 @ 6.5%
0-2 @ 4.89%
1-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 1.64%
2-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 28.23%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Derby

Blackburn Rovers
57.0%
Draw
17.7%
Derby County
25.3%
79
Head to Head
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 3
Derby
0-4
Blackburn

Buchanan (33'), Rooney (80')
Dolan (11'), Johnson (12', 15'), Armstrong (78')
Johnson (36'), Lenihan (42'), Rothwell (66')
Mar 8, 2020 3pm
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 20
Blackburn
1-0
Derby
Armstrong (57')
Evans (62')

Lawrence (18')
Apr 9, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 41
Blackburn
2-0
Derby
Rothwell (76'), Dack (92')
Bennett (51'), Travis (85')
Sep 18, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Derby
0-0
Blackburn
Bogle (76'), Waghorn (90')
Williams (46'), Palmer (49'), Lenihan (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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