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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Swansea logo

Blackburn
1 - 0
Swansea

Ayala (89')
Thomas (15'), Travis (45'), Ayala (90+4'), Dolan (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Latibeaudiere (51'), Fulton (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Blackpool
Wednesday, February 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Swansea City

Blackburn are still within touching distance of the top six but need to start turning regular draws into regular wins if they are to finish in the playoffs, with a home tie with Swansea a good opportunity to begin such a run. Swansea narrowly beat Blackpool in the week, but Ewood Park on Saturday will be a harder test which we believe they will not be able to be successful in. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawSwansea City
26.77% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 24.86% (0.0010000000000012 0) 48.36% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.87% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.21% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)48.79% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.11% (-0.029 -0.03)70.89% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)32.48% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.99% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)69.01% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (0.0020000000000095 0)20.21% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)52.52% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 26.77%
    Swansea City 48.36%
    Draw 24.86%
Blackburn RoversDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 7.38%
2-1 @ 6.64% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.49% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 26.77%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6.56% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.86%
0-1 @ 10.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.44% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 8.39% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.47% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 1.79% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 48.36%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Swansea

Blackburn Rovers
59.0%
Draw
23.1%
Swansea City
17.9%
39
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Swansea
0-3
Blackburn

Fulton (20'), Piroe (31'), Obafemi (86')
Szmodics (39'), Brereton Diaz (57'), Travis (84')
Gallagher (35')
Feb 5, 2022 5.30pm
Swansea
1-0
Blackburn
Obafemi (16')
Ntcham (37'), Manning (38'), Christie (90+1')
Manning (53')

Rothwell (24'), Buckley (33')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Blackburn
2-1
Swansea
Gallagher (36'), Brereton Diaz (48' pen.)
Pickering (18'), Buckley (79'), Ayala (82'), Rothwell (90+2')
Paterson (52')
Latibeaudiere (40'), Cabango (88')
Mar 9, 2021 6pm
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Swansea
2-0
Blackburn
Cabango (25'), Ayew (61')
Ayew (19'), Bidwell (30'), Cabango (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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