Championship

Championship | Gameweek 33

Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

Ewood Park

Blackburn
1 - 0
Swansea

Ayala (89')
Thomas (15'), Travis (45'), Ayala (90+4'), Dolan (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Latibeaudiere (51'), Fulton (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: West Brom 1-1 Blackburn
Wednesday, February 15 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swansea City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Blackpool
Wednesday, February 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Swansea City

Blackburn are still within touching distance of the top six but need to start turning regular draws into regular wins if they are to finish in the playoffs, with a home tie with Swansea a good opportunity to begin such a run. Swansea narrowly beat Blackpool in the week, but Ewood Park on Saturday will be a harder test which we believe they will not be able to be successful in. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Swansea City
26.77% ( -0.04)	24.86% ( 0)	48.36% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 53.87% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.21% (

-0.03)

48.79% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.11% (

-0.03)

70.89% (

0.03)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.51% (

-0.05)

32.48% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.99% (

-0.05)

69.01% (

0.05)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.79% (

20.21% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.48% (

0.01)

52.52% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Blackburn Rovers 26.77%

Swansea City 48.36%

Draw 24.86%

Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 7.38% 2-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.15% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 26.77%	1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.86%	0-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.03% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.01% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 48.36%