MX23RW : Sunday, February 2 03:53:50| >> :600:1302568:1302568:
Blackburn logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Birmingham logo

Blackburn
2 - 2
Birmingham

Dack (33'), Rankin-Costello (46')
Rankin-Costello (22'), Brereton Diaz (86'), Morton (69'), Wharton (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Khadra (3')
Chong (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Blackburn Rovers and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Blackburn
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Preston
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Birmingham City

While Blues boosted their confidence with a win over Forest Green in the previous round, we cannot ignore their form at the second tier. Although Blackburn have been far from perfect themselves, they should have enough quality in their ranks to record a relatively comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawBirmingham City
40.58% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 26.94% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 32.47% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.51% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.39% (0.079000000000001 0.08)54.62% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.05% (0.064999999999998 0.06)75.95% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57% (0.024000000000001 0.02)26.44% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39% (0.033000000000001 0.03)61.6% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.66% (0.066000000000003 0.07)31.34% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.3% (0.076999999999998 0.08)67.7% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 40.58%
    Birmingham City 32.47%
    Draw 26.93%
Blackburn RoversDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 40.58%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.28% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 9.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.47%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Birmingham

Blackburn Rovers
71.4%
Draw
10.7%
Birmingham City
17.9%
28
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Blackburn
4-0
Birmingham
Buckley (6'), Khadra (52'), Brereton Diaz (60' pen., 79')
Buckley (41')

Sunjic (43')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Blackburn
5-2
Birmingham
Armstrong (27' pen., 71', 85'), Brereton (45+1'), Elliott (83')
Pedersen (22'), Jutkiewicz (50')
Leko (26'), Stirk (40'), Pedersen (67')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-2
Blackburn

Sanchez (85')
Armstrong (10'), Dack (90+1')
Travis (39'), Douglas (81'), Armstrong (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Everton236892328-526
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!