MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 15:19:05| >> :600:651332:651332:
Blackburn logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Birmingham logo

Blackburn
2 - 2
Birmingham

Dack (33'), Rankin-Costello (46')
Rankin-Costello (22'), Brereton Diaz (86'), Morton (69'), Wharton (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Khadra (3')
Chong (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Blackburn Rovers and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Blackburn
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Preston
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Birmingham City

While Blues boosted their confidence with a win over Forest Green in the previous round, we cannot ignore their form at the second tier. Although Blackburn have been far from perfect themselves, they should have enough quality in their ranks to record a relatively comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawBirmingham City
40.58% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 26.94% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 32.47% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.51% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.39% (0.079000000000001 0.08)54.62% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.05% (0.064999999999998 0.06)75.95% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57% (0.024000000000001 0.02)26.44% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39% (0.033000000000001 0.03)61.6% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.66% (0.066000000000003 0.07)31.34% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.3% (0.076999999999998 0.08)67.7% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 40.58%
    Birmingham City 32.47%
    Draw 26.93%
Blackburn RoversDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 40.58%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.28% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 9.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.47%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Birmingham

Blackburn Rovers
71.4%
Draw
10.7%
Birmingham City
17.9%
28
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Blackburn
4-0
Birmingham
Buckley (6'), Khadra (52'), Brereton Diaz (60' pen., 79')
Buckley (41')

Sunjic (43')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Blackburn
5-2
Birmingham
Armstrong (27' pen., 71', 85'), Brereton (45+1'), Elliott (83')
Pedersen (22'), Jutkiewicz (50')
Leko (26'), Stirk (40'), Pedersen (67')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-2
Blackburn

Sanchez (85')
Armstrong (10'), Dack (90+1')
Travis (39'), Douglas (81'), Armstrong (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Vikings
@
Bears
6pm
Lions
@
Colts
6pm
Patriots
@
Dolphins
6pm
Buccaneers
@
Giants
6pm
Chiefs
@
Panthers
6pm
Titans
@
Texans
6pm
Cowboys
@
Washington
9.05pm
Broncos
@
Raiders
9.25pm
49ers
@
Packers
9.25pm
Cardinals
@
Seahawks
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!