FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round

Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

Ewood Park

Blackburn
2 - 2
Birmingham

Dack (33'), Rankin-Costello (46')
Rankin-Costello (22'), Brereton Diaz (86'), Morton (69'), Wharton (80')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Khadra (3')
Chong (40')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Blackburn Rovers and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Blackburn
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Preston
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Birmingham City

While Blues boosted their confidence with a win over Forest Green in the previous round, we cannot ignore their form at the second tier. Although Blackburn have been far from perfect themselves, they should have enough quality in their ranks to record a relatively comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Birmingham City
40.58% ( -0.02)	26.94% ( -0.02)	32.47% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 50.51% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.39% (

0.08)

54.62% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.05% (

0.06)

75.95% (

-0.07)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.57% (

0.02)

26.44% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.39% (

0.03)

61.6% (

-0.04)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.66% (

0.07)

31.34% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.3% (

0.08)

67.7% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Blackburn Rovers 40.58%

Birmingham City 32.47%

Draw 26.93%

Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.17% Total : 40.58%	1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.93%	0-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.47%