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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 21.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Birmingham City |
54.3% ( 0) | 23.72% ( -0) | 21.98% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 52.32% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.64% ( 0.01) | 48.36% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.5% ( 0.01) | 70.5% ( -0.01) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.29% ( 0) | 17.71% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.64% ( 0.01) | 48.36% ( -0.01) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.57% ( 0) | 36.42% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.79% ( 0) | 73.21% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 11.16% 2-1 @ 9.76% 2-0 @ 9.67% 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.58% 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.57% Total : 54.29% | 1-1 @ 11.27% 0-0 @ 6.45% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.93% 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.72% | 0-1 @ 6.51% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.7% 0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 21.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
> Championship Full Table |