Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
Result | ||
Blackpool | Draw | Millwall |
25.87% ( 0.02) | 25.72% ( 0.14) | 48.41% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 50.44% ( -0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.08% ( -0.53) | 52.91% ( 0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.48% ( -0.45) | 74.52% ( 0.45) |
Blackpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.57% ( -0.27) | 35.43% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.8% ( -0.28) | 72.19% ( 0.28) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.12% ( -0.29) | 21.87% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.88% ( -0.44) | 55.11% ( 0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Blackpool | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 25.87% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 4.54% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.27% Total : 48.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
> Championship Full Table |