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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Preston North End logo

Millwall
2 - 0
Preston

Bradshaw (14'), Flemming (72')
Cooper (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Whiteman (51'), Onomah (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-0 Millwall
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-1 Reading
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Preston North End

With these two teams in contrasting form, many will back Preston to edge the contest in East London. Nevertheless, Millwall's recent two defeats have only come by narrow margins, and we feel that the Lions will do enough to earn a draw in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 46.6%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 25.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawPreston North End
46.6% (-0.448 -0.45) 28.03% (0.165 0.16) 25.36% (0.282 0.28)
Both teams to score 43.67% (-0.199 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.54% (-0.369 -0.37)61.46% (0.36799999999999 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.66% (-0.277 -0.28)81.34% (0.277 0.28)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.53% (-0.393 -0.39)26.47% (0.393 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34% (-0.524 -0.52)61.65% (0.523 0.52)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.39% (0.045000000000002 0.05)40.61% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.79% (0.042000000000002 0.04)77.21% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 46.59%
    Preston North End 25.36%
    Draw 28.02%
MillwallDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 14.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.5% (-0.081000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.21% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 46.59%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.74% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.02%
0-1 @ 9.69% (0.145 0.15)
1-2 @ 5.8% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.37% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 25.36%

How you voted: Millwall vs Preston

Millwall
47.8%
Draw
17.4%
Preston North End
34.8%
23
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Preston
2-4
Millwall
Hughes (20'), Evans (28')
Lindsay (14')
Flemming (4', 16', 64'), Cresswell (72')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Millwall
2-1
Preston
Malone (39'), Bennett (86')
Evans (90+4')
Evans (12')
Molumby (58')
Oct 28, 2020 7pm
Preston
0-2
Millwall

Johnson (71'), Browne (90+1')
Zohore (54'), Wallace (84' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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