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Championship | Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Millwall logo

West Brom
0 - 0
Millwall


Thomas-Asante (57'), Dike (69')
FT

McNamara (54'), Bradshaw (69'), Saville (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 West Brom
Wednesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Millwall

West Brom have been almost faultless at The Hawthorns since Corberan took over in October, and the Baggies will need that theme to continue in order to close the gap on the top six. Millwall have had a fortnight to dwell on a poor defeat to Huddersfield last time out, and we believe they will be unable to pass a tough test in the Black Country on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 50.23%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawMillwall
50.23% (0.922 0.92) 25.97% (0.017999999999997 0.02) 23.8% (-0.94 -0.94)
Both teams to score 47.79% (-0.971 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.58% (-0.802 -0.8)55.42% (0.804 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.38% (-0.662 -0.66)76.61% (0.66300000000001 0.66)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.89% (0.072000000000003 0.07)22.11% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.52% (0.106 0.11)55.48% (-0.104 -0.1)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.35% (-1.304 -1.3)38.65% (1.304 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.61% (-1.261 -1.26)75.39% (1.262 1.26)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 50.22%
    Millwall 23.8%
    Draw 25.97%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.89% (0.42 0.42)
2-0 @ 9.73% (0.338 0.34)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 4.89% (0.18 0.18)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.075 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.85% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 50.22%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.55% (0.262 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.16 -0.16)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.12% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.224 -0.22)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 23.8%

How you voted: West Brom vs Millwall

West Bromwich Albion
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
Millwall
20.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
West Brom
1-1
Millwall
Bartley (49')
Kipre (20')
Ballard (55')
Mitchell (43'), Wallace (60'), Smith (90+3')
Aug 13, 2019 8pm
First Round
West Brom
1-2
Millwall
Austin (9')
Bradshaw (28'), O'Brien (55')
Hutchinson (68'), Thompson (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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