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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Bristol City
4 - 1
Plymouth

Bell (3'), James (8'), Sykes (33'), Cornick (80')
Wells (35'), Tanner (67'), Yeboah (90+3')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Randell (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Plymouth Argyle

Plymouth are on a run of four defeats from five, while they have only drawn once in all competitions this season, but we are backing a stalemate here. Bristol City have shared the points in two of their last three Championship matches and might be forced to settle for another point on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
42.1% (1.5 1.5) 24.93% (-0.121 -0.12) 32.97% (-1.384 -1.38)
Both teams to score 57.26% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.01% (0.192 0.19)45.99% (-0.194 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.71% (0.179 0.18)68.29% (-0.18299999999999 -0.18)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16% (0.80500000000001 0.81)21.84% (-0.808 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.94% (1.212 1.21)55.06% (-1.216 -1.22)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (-0.74199999999999 -0.74)26.74% (0.74 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.98% (-0.989 -0.99)62.02% (0.986 0.99)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 42.1%
    Plymouth Argyle 32.97%
    Draw 24.92%
Bristol CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.168 0.17)
1-0 @ 8.89% (0.141 0.14)
2-0 @ 6.76% (0.265 0.27)
3-1 @ 4.52% (0.191 0.19)
3-0 @ 3.43% (0.213 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.065 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.112 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.11 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 42.1%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.84% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.92%
1-2 @ 7.73% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-1 @ 7.7% (-0.229 -0.23)
0-2 @ 5.08% (-0.262 -0.26)
1-3 @ 3.4% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.165 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 32.97%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Plymouth

Bristol City
53.7%
Draw
26.8%
Plymouth Argyle
19.5%
41
Head to Head
Jul 16, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Plymouth
0-1
Bristol City
Wells (82')
Jul 27, 2021 6pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
0-1
Bristol City
Weimann (55')
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
First Round
Bristol City
0-1
Plymouth

Weimann (86')
Songo'o (27')
Songo'o (17'), Carey (49'), Ladapo (59'), Smith-Brown (67')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Bristol City
5-0
Plymouth
Hegeler (2'), Baker (14'), Smith (19'), Hinds (39'), Paterson (79')
Mar 16, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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