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Plymouth Argyle
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Home Park
Crystal Palace logo

Plymouth
2 - 4
Crystal Palace

Waine (6'), Cundle (46')
Butcher (79'), Scarr (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Edouard (58'), Mateta (61', 62', 83')
Mateta (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Plymouth Argyle and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Plymouth
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Crystal Palace
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Plymouth Argyle 0-2 Crystal Palace

While Plymouth will be looking to pick up where they dropped off in the first round, they face the daunting challenge of a well-drilled Crystal Palace side who have been solid this season. Hodgson's side boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we predict that they will build on the positives from Saturday's draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCrystal Palace
34.89% (0.029000000000003 0.03) 25.29% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 39.82% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.51% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.82% (0.036999999999999 0.04)47.18% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.59% (0.035 0.04)69.41% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.84% (0.033000000000001 0.03)26.17% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.75% (0.043999999999997 0.04)61.25% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)23.47% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.52% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)57.49% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 34.89%
    Crystal Palace 39.82%
    Draw 25.29%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 8.23% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 8% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.58% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 34.89%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 8.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.65% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 6.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.18%
0-3 @ 3.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.13%
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 39.82%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Crystal Palace

Plymouth Argyle
17.7%
Draw
6.3%
Crystal Palace
75.9%
79
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
0-1
Crystal Palace

Sawyer (45')
Moses (17')
Davis (19'), Moses (29'), Derry (40'), Danns (51'), Hills (87')
Aug 8, 2009 3pm
Crystal Palace
1-1
Plymouth
Lee (63')
Timar (5')
Timar (27'), Summerfield (55')
Feb 17, 2009 3pm
Sep 20, 2008 3pm
Crystal Palace
1-2
Plymouth
McCarthy (85')
Fonte (64'), Griffit (90')
Gallagher (28', 56')
Doumbé (69'), Gallagher (72')
Dec 22, 2007 3pm
Crystal Palace
2-1
Plymouth
Hill (8'), Scowcroft (44')
Morrison (45'), Songo'o (47')
Easter (49')
Hayles (32'), Sawyer (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
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