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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Plymouth Argyle

Preston
2 - 1
Plymouth

Holmes (1'), Millar (25')
Ledson (22'), Holmes (32'), McCann (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hardie (61')
Miller (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Preston North End 2-1 Plymouth Argyle

Preston North End will be full of confidence after their fast start, and although Plymouth will certainly make it difficult, we back the Lilywhites to get over the line on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Preston North End in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Preston North End.

Result
Preston North EndDrawPlymouth Argyle
42.92% (-0.337 -0.34) 25.18% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 31.9% (0.297 0.3)
Both teams to score 56.01% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.56% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)47.44% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.34% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)69.66% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.93% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)22.07% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.59% (-0.29 -0.29)55.42% (0.292 0.29)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.87% (0.155 0.16)28.14% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.19% (0.197 0.2)63.82% (-0.19500000000001 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 42.92%
    Plymouth Argyle 31.9%
    Draw 25.17%
Preston North EndDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.034999999999998 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.09% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 42.92%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.21% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.87% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.99% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.19% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.035 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.9%

How you voted: Preston vs Plymouth

Preston North End
57.7%
Draw
30.8%
Plymouth Argyle
11.5%
26
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
1-1
Preston
Johnson (71' pen.)
St Ledger-Hall (18')
Mawene (90'), Jones (90')
Dec 12, 2009 3pm
Feb 3, 2009 3pm
Oct 21, 2008 3pm
Apr 19, 2008 3pm
Plymouth
2-2
Preston
Wotton (75' pen.), Mackie (12')
Timar (47')
Chaplow (90'), Mellor (77')
Sedgwick (47'), Mawene (74'), Mellor (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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