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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
44.08% ( -0.02) | 24.82% ( 0) | 31.1% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.83% ( -0) | 46.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.53% ( -0.01) | 68.47% ( 0) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79% ( -0.01) | 21% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.22% ( -0.02) | 53.78% ( 0.01) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.98% ( 0.01) | 28.02% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.33% ( 0.01) | 63.67% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 9.19% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.64% Total : 44.08% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 5.89% 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 7.49% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 31.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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