Championship | Gameweek 18
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Burnley2 - 1Reading
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Norwich
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Championship
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Burnley 2-0 Reading
Having ended their recent losing streak, Reading will travel to the North-West with the belief that they can cause a surprise. Nevertheless, we are backing Burnley to continue along their merry way, potentially with a goal in either half. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 70.53%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Reading had a probability of 10.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.51%) and 3-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Reading |
70.53% ( -0.02) | 18.89% ( 0.03) | 10.58% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.07% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
