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Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 25, 2022 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
Norwich logo

Burnley
1 - 0
Norwich

Rodriguez (82' pen.)
Rodriguez (38'), Tella (58'), Cork (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Aarons (21'), Hayden (27'), Hanley (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-4 Burnley
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-2 Norwich
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 1-1 Norwich City

Victory for either side at Turf Moor would send a message to the rest of the league as to their promotion credentials, although a tight affair could be on the cards on Friday. Burnley have already drawn three of their opening four home games this term and we can see the points being shared once again in Lancashire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burnley in this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawNorwich City
47.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 25.48% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 26.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.64% (0.0010000000000048 0)51.36% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.82% (0.0019999999999989 0)73.18% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)21.51% (-0.0059999999999967 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.43% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)54.56% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.13% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)33.86% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.46% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)70.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 47.76%
    Norwich City 26.75%
    Draw 25.48%
BurnleyDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 11.19%
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.58%
4-1 @ 1.83%
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 47.76%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 7.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 26.75%

How you voted: Burnley vs Norwich

Burnley
79.7%
Draw
12.0%
Norwich City
8.3%
133
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Burnley
0-0
Norwich

Tarkowski (11'), Wood (24'), Lowton (25'), Brownhill (33'), Rodriguez (49')

Normann (27'), Aarons (74')
Jul 18, 2020 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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