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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Turf Moor
West Brom logo

Burnley
vs.
West Brom

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Burnley and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 4-0 Luton
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 QPR
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in Championship

We say: Burnley 2-0 West Bromwich Albion

Burnley's exemplary home sequence compared to West Brom's horrendous streak of form on the road is chalk and cheese, and those respective records should be reflected in the final scoreline. Mowbray's 10 men displayed tremendous grit to prevail over the weekend, but Parker's defensive masters should keep the Baggies at arm's length and strike at least once as they maintain their top-two push. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burnley win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw has a probability of 24.5% and a win for West Bromwich Albion has a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.52%), while for a West Bromwich Albion win it is 0-1 (7.02%).

Result
BurnleyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
56.37% (4.329 4.33) 24.53% (-1.178 -1.18) 19.1% (-3.155 -3.16)
Both teams to score 45.82% (-1.02 -1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.15% (0.929 0.93)54.85% (-0.929 -0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.85% (0.763 0.76)76.15% (-0.764 -0.76)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.63% (2.118 2.12)19.36% (-2.12 -2.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.84% (3.363 3.36)51.16% (-3.365 -3.37)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.82% (-2.833 -2.83)43.17% (2.834 2.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.56% (-2.475 -2.48)79.44% (2.475 2.48)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 56.36%
    West Bromwich Albion 19.1%
    Draw 24.52%
BurnleyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 13.72% (0.4 0.4)
2-0 @ 11.26% (1.02 1.02)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.159 0.16)
3-0 @ 6.17% (0.912 0.91)
3-1 @ 5.18% (0.409 0.41)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.511 0.51)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.292 0.29)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 56.36%
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.57 -0.57)
0-0 @ 8.36% (-0.306 -0.31)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.249 -0.25)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 24.52%
0-1 @ 7.02% (-0.845 -0.85)
1-2 @ 4.84% (-0.65 -0.65)
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.622 -0.62)
1-3 @ 1.36% (-0.306 -0.31)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.165 -0.17)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 19.1%

Who will win Tuesday's Championship clash between Burnley and West Brom?

Burnley
Draw
West Bromwich Albion
Burnley
57.1%
Draw
26.2%
West Bromwich Albion
16.7%
42
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 14
West Brom
0-0
Burnley
Maja (26'), Swift (57'), Molumby (89')
Cullen (30'), Roberts (40'), Koleosho (77')
Jan 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Burnley
2-1
West Brom
Tella (75'), Twine (87')
Furlong (7')
Sep 2, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 8
West Brom
1-1
Burnley
Thomas-Asante (90+8')
Button (29')
Rodriguez (30' pen.)
Cork (36'), Harwood-Bellis (50'), Roberts (71'), Taylor (80')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 25
Burnley
0-0
West Brom
Cork (76'), Mee (90+3'), Lowton (90+4')
Ajayi (30')
Oct 19, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
West Brom
0-0
Burnley
Livermore (53'), Phillips (90+2')
Taylor (37'), Westwood (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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