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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 76.91%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 8.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.21%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.86%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
76.91% ( -0.01) | 14.54% ( 0) | 8.54% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 49.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.17% ( -0.01) | 34.83% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.2% ( -0.01) | 56.8% ( 0.01) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.57% ( -0) | 7.43% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.26% ( -0.01) | 26.74% ( 0.01) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.04% | 46.96% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.54% | 82.45% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
2-0 @ 11.78% 3-0 @ 10.21% 1-0 @ 9.07% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.72% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6.64% ( -0) 4-1 @ 5.02% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.45% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.92% 5-1 @ 2.61% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.5% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.13% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.05% Total : 76.9% | 1-1 @ 6.86% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.49% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.37% Other @ 0.83% Total : 14.54% | 0-1 @ 2.64% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.59% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.32% Total : 8.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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