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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Plymouth Argyle

Millwall
1 - 0
Plymouth

Esse (13')
Honeyman (8'), Azeez (45+1'), Saville (59'), Cooper (76'), Bryan (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Szucs (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Derby
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Championship

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff 5-0 Plymouth
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 3-0 Plymouth Argyle

 After battling back for a point against Derby on the weekend, Millwall will be desperate to grab all three points against Plymouth on Wednesday night. The Green Army are woeful on the road and with little time between Saturday's mauling at Cardiff and the trip to The Den, we are expecting a similar result for Rooney's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 18.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Millwall.

Result
MillwallDrawPlymouth Argyle
58.31% (0.715 0.71) 23.29% (-0.308 -0.31) 18.39% (-0.412 -0.41)
Both teams to score 48.18% (0.199 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.91% (0.633 0.63)51.08% (-0.638 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.06% (0.553 0.55)72.94% (-0.559 -0.56)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.75% (0.48699999999999 0.49)17.24% (-0.492 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.44% (0.852 0.85)47.55% (-0.857 -0.86)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.21% (-0.105 -0.11)41.78% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.75% (-0.093 -0.09)78.25% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 58.31%
    Plymouth Argyle 18.39%
    Draw 23.29%
MillwallDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 12.66% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 11.13% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.52% (0.146 0.15)
3-1 @ 5.69% (0.112 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.87% (0.108 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.5% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.035 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 58.31%
1-1 @ 11.05% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 7.21% (-0.187 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.24% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 23.29%
0-1 @ 6.29% (-0.181 -0.18)
1-2 @ 4.82% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.74% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 18.39%

How you voted: Millwall vs Plymouth

Millwall
73.5%
Draw
11.8%
Plymouth Argyle
14.7%
68
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Millwall
1-0
Plymouth
Cooper (83')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Plymouth
0-2
Millwall

Miller (31'), Pleguezuelo (63')
Flemming (59'), Saville (90+7')
McNamara (52'), Cooper (54'), Campbell (54'), Leonard (89'), Wallace (90+4'), Norton-Cuffy (90+7')
> Preview
Aug 29, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round
Millwall
3-2
Plymouth
Williams (64' pen.), Gregory (84'), O'Brien (89')
Ness (41'), Ladapo (67')
Edwards (63'), Ness (90')
> Match Report
Nov 10, 2015 7.45pm
Area Quarter-Finals
Plymouth
3-5
Millwall
Jervis (34'), Carey (56'), Kervis (85')
Purrington (91')
Gregory (21', 43', 49', 58'), O'Brien (66')
Webster (93')
Apr 15, 2006 3pm
Millwall
1-1
Plymouth
Williams (31')
Williams (62')
Pericard (10')
Wotton (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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