Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Den
Millwall1 - 1Derby
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 2-0 QPR
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
12
We said: Millwall 1-0 Derby County
With two matches in the space of five days at The Den on the horizon, Millwall should be raring to record back-to-back wins, starting with victory over newly-promoted Derby this weekend. The Rams have been very weak on their Championship travels so far and are set to struggle in the capital at a hostile venue on Saturday afternoon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Derby County |
40.29% ( 0) | 27.47% ( -0.02) | 32.24% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.85% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
