MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 00:18:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Derby logo
Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Hull logo

Derby
1 - 1
Hull City

Brown (66')
Forsyth (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Simons (57')
Simons (72'), Hughes (77'), Burstow (90+1'), Pedro (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Derby
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Burnley
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 2-1 Hull City

With Derby County having excelled at home so far this season and the visitors yet to truly click under Tim Walter, we back Derby County to earn another three points and continue their pleasing start to the term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawHull City
41.63% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 25.5% (0.0010000000000012 0) 32.87% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.29% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.46%48.53% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)70.66% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.83% (0.0019999999999953 0)23.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.04% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.04% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 41.63%
    Hull City 32.87%
    Draw 25.49%
Derby CountyDrawHull City
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 8.83% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.31%
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 41.63%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 8.26%
1-2 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 32.87%

How you voted: Derby vs Hull City

Derby County
58.7%
Draw
27.0%
Hull City
14.3%
63
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Derby
3-1
Hull City
Forsyth (19'), Lawrence (38'), Ebosele (47')
Bielik (53'), Bird (90+4')
Forsyth (65' og.)
Docherty (17'), Greaves (21'), Honeyman (89')
Aug 18, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Hull City
0-1
Derby

Jones (71')
Baldock (57')
Morrison (79'), Roos (90+1'), Stretton (90+2')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 14
Hull City
2-0
Derby
Bowen (74', 80')
Irvine (11'), Bowler (44'), de Wijs (45'), Elder (63')

Holmes (53')
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 31
Derby
2-0
Hull City
Waghorn (41', 71')
Wilson (93')

Ridgewell (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!