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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 55.65%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 19.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.4%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Fulham |
19.19% | 25.16% | 55.65% |
Both teams to score 44.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.01% | 56.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.11% | 77.89% |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.69% | 44.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.62% | 80.38% |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.52% | 20.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.04% | 52.97% |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Fulham |
1-0 @ 7.39% 2-1 @ 4.77% 2-0 @ 3.01% 3-1 @ 1.29% 3-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.71% Total : 19.19% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 9.08% 2-2 @ 3.78% Other @ 0.59% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 14.39% 0-2 @ 11.4% 1-2 @ 9.29% 0-3 @ 6.03% 1-3 @ 4.91% 0-4 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 2% 1-4 @ 1.95% Other @ 3.29% Total : 55.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
4 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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