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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Leeds logo

Hull City
3 - 3
Leeds

Kamara (5', 89'), Pedro (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tanaka (46'), James (62'), Piroe (72')
Rodon (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Hull City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, January 1 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 1-1 Blackburn
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Hull City 0-2 Leeds United

Having seemingly corrected their away form in recent weeks, we back Leeds United to make their superior quality count on Saturday and seal another victory in comfortable fashion in this Yorkshire derby. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 59.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 18.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Hull City win it was 1-0 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Hull CityDrawLeeds United
18.16% (1.788 1.79) 22.35% (0.776 0.78) 59.49% (-2.565 -2.57)
Both teams to score 50.61% (1.114 1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.38% (-0.346 -0.35)47.62% (0.346 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.18% (-0.32 -0.32)69.82% (0.318 0.32)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.98% (1.972 1.97)40.02% (-1.973 -1.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.33% (1.759 1.76)76.67% (-1.76 -1.76)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.37% (-0.94799999999999 -0.95)15.63% (0.947 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.37% (-1.787 -1.79)44.63% (1.787 1.79)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 18.16%
    Leeds United 59.47%
    Draw 22.35%
Hull CityDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 5.73% (0.378 0.38)
2-1 @ 4.87% (0.415 0.42)
2-0 @ 2.62% (0.302 0.3)
3-1 @ 1.49% (0.198 0.2)
3-2 @ 1.38% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 18.16%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.37 0.37)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.089 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.246 0.25)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.35%
0-1 @ 11.6% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-2 @ 10.77% (-0.57 -0.57)
1-2 @ 9.87% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.67% (-0.592 -0.59)
1-3 @ 6.11% (-0.192 -0.19)
0-4 @ 3.09% (-0.388 -0.39)
1-4 @ 2.83% (-0.187 -0.19)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.063 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.15% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-5 @ 1.05% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 59.47%

How you voted: Hull City vs Leeds

Hull City
14.8%
Draw
3.3%
Leeds United
82.0%
61
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Leeds
2-0
Hull City
Fernandez (63'), Piroe (81')
Rodon (29'), Gruev (79')

Millar (57')
Apr 1, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 40
Leeds
3-1
Hull City
Byram (9'), Summerville (88' pen.), James (90+7')
Firpo (27'), Summerville (89')
Carvalho (34')
Tufan (54'), Michael Seri (70')
Sep 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Hull City
0-0
Leeds
Rosenior (0'), Twine (54'), Connolly (69'), Philogene-Bidace (80')
Rodon (43'), Ampadu (52'), Ayling (90+1'), Ayling (90')
Rodon (60')
Sep 16, 2020 7.45pm
Second Round
Leeds
1-1
Hull City
(Aggregate 1-1 | Hull City win 9-8 on penalties)
Alioski (90+3')
Alioski (45+1')
Wilks (5')
Scott (90+2')
Feb 29, 2020 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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