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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Deepdale
Leeds logo

Preston
1 - 1
Leeds

Potts (23')
Whiteman (32'), Osmajic (58'), Lindsay (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Whatmough (90+3' og.)
Farke (37'), James (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Preston
Wednesday, December 11 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, December 10 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 1-2 Leeds United

While Leeds have struggled on the road in recent weeks, their firepower should be enough to overcome Preston here. As the Championship's leading scorers, they will aim to pile the pressure on Sheffield United at the top, and we think they will do that with a 2-1 victory at Deepdale this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 59.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Preston North End win it was 1-0 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawLeeds United
19.1% (0.154 0.15) 21.77% (0.055999999999997 0.06) 59.13% (-0.207 -0.21)
Both teams to score 54.19% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.31% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)43.68% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.92% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)66.08% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.33% (0.156 0.16)36.67% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.54% (0.155 0.15)73.46% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.58% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)14.42% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.65% (-0.138 -0.14)42.35% (0.141 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 19.1%
    Leeds United 59.13%
    Draw 21.77%
Preston North EndDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 5.31% (0.027 0.03)
2-1 @ 5.15% (0.034 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.66% (0.025 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.72% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 19.1%
1-1 @ 10.27% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.77%
0-1 @ 10.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.95% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 9.92% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 6.42% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.4% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 3.11% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 3.1% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.2% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.2% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 59.13%

How you voted: Preston vs Leeds

Preston North End
18.3%
Draw
7.0%
Leeds United
74.6%
71
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 28
Leeds
2-1
Preston
James (6'), Piroe (90+4' pen.)
Summerville (38'), Rutter (67'), Firpo (76'), Bamford (85')
Keane (2')
Whiteman (8'), McCann (34'), Lindsay (62'), Cornell (83'), Ledson (85'), Stewart (86')
Dec 26, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 24
Preston
2-1
Leeds
Browne (57'), Millar (89')
Potts (22'), McCann (30'), Osmajic (54'), Holmes (80'), Browne (87')
Struijk (83' pen.)
Rodon (54')
Meslier (53')
Dec 26, 2019 5.15pm
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Apr 9, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 41
Preston
0-2
Leeds

Pearson (14'), Davies (45')
Pearson (49')
Bamford (62', 76')
Alioski (67'), Phillips (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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