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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Elland Road
Hull logo

Leeds
3 - 1
Hull City

Byram (9'), Summerville (88' pen.), James (90+7')
Firpo (27'), Summerville (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Carvalho (34')
Tufan (54'), Michael Seri (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-2 Stoke
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-0 Hull City

At some point, this Hull side may click back into gear given the quality that they have in the final third. However, this is the worst possible game for them at this stage, and we do not see them challenging a relentless Leeds side at Elland Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 66.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 13.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawHull City
66.49% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11) 19.69% (0.105 0.11) 13.81% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.38% (-0.33000000000001 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.81% (-0.452 -0.45)44.18% (0.449 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.44% (-0.441 -0.44)66.56% (0.438 0.44)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.61% (-0.16900000000001 -0.17)12.39% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.74% (-0.348 -0.35)38.26% (0.346 0.35)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.37% (-0.27 -0.27)43.63% (0.266 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.18% (-0.224 -0.22)79.82% (0.22199999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 66.48%
    Hull City 13.81%
    Draw 19.69%
Leeds UnitedDrawHull City
2-0 @ 11.78% (0.08 0.08)
1-0 @ 11.28% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.81% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.28% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.55% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.79% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.48% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 66.48%
1-1 @ 9.36% (0.054 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.41% (0.105 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 19.69%
0-1 @ 4.48% (0.055 0.05)
1-2 @ 3.88% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.86% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 13.81%

How you voted: Leeds vs Hull City

Leeds United
86.6%
Draw
9.3%
Hull City
4.1%
97
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Hull City
0-0
Leeds
Rosenior (0'), Twine (54'), Connolly (69'), Philogene-Bidace (80')
Rodon (43'), Ampadu (52'), Ayling (90+1'), Ayling (90')
Rodon (60')
Sep 16, 2020 7.45pm
Second Round
Leeds
1-1
Hull City
Hull City win 9-8 on penalties
Alioski (90+3')
Alioski (45+1')
Wilks (5')
Scott (90+2')
Feb 29, 2020 12.30pm
Dec 10, 2019 7.45pm
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 25
Leeds
0-2
Hull City

Forshaw (48'), Phillips (61'), Jansson (74')
Bowen (25', 58')
Kane (47'), Grosicki (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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