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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Leeds logo

Stoke
vs.
Leeds

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 4-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship

We say: Stoke City 0-3 Leeds United

Despite the fact that Stoke have not often lost at home, they are in dire form and have been porous in their defensive third. Additionally, Leeds have been outstanding recently, and it would not be surprising if they piled further misery on their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leeds United win with a probability of 55.8%. A draw has a probability of 22.4% and a win for Stoke City has a probability of 21.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.63%) and 0-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Stoke City win it is 2-1 (5.73%).

Result
Stoke CityDrawLeeds United
21.77% (0.275 0.27) 22.42% (0.117 0.12) 55.8% (-0.392 -0.39)
Both teams to score 56.28% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.04% (-0.182 -0.18)42.96% (0.182 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.64% (-0.181 -0.18)65.36% (0.17999999999999 0.18)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.41% (0.15400000000001 0.15)33.58% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.77% (0.169 0.17)70.23% (-0.169 -0.17)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.75% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)15.25% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.07% (-0.365 -0.37)43.93% (0.36499999999999 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 21.77%
    Leeds United 55.8%
    Draw 22.41%
Stoke CityDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 5.73% (0.056 0.06)
1-0 @ 5.59% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.05% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.09% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.11% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 21.77%
1-1 @ 10.5% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.12% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.41%
1-2 @ 9.88% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 9.63% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.06% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 6.19% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 5.68% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.91% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 2.67% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.59% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.1% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 55.8%

Who will win Thursday's Championship clash between Stoke and Leeds?

Stoke City
Draw
Leeds United
Stoke City
35.7%
Draw
7.1%
Leeds United
57.1%
14
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Leeds
1-0
Stoke
James (33')
Gruev (90+5')

Laurent (37'), Pearson (69')
Pearson (86')
Oct 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Stoke
1-0
Leeds
Struijk (80' og.)
Thompson (62')

Gnonto (68'), Rutter (78'), Summerville (90+2')
Sep 1, 2020 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Stoke
3-0
Leeds
Collins (1'), Gregory (2'), Ince (3')
Jul 9, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 42
Leeds
5-0
Stoke
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Leeds
2-2
Stoke
(Aggregate 2-2 | Stoke win 5-4 on penalties)
Nketiah (67'), Costa (81')
McCalmont (33'), Douglas (90')
Batth (39'), Vokes (44')
Martins Indi (22'), Carter-Vickers (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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