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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Leeds logo

Stoke
0 - 2
Leeds


Famiwuya (38'), Tchamadeu (45+2'), Wilmot (51'), Cannon (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Piroe (42', 63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 4-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 0-3 Leeds United

Despite the fact that Stoke have not often lost at home, they are in dire form and have been porous in their defensive third. Additionally, Leeds have been outstanding recently, and it would not be surprising if they piled further misery on their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.66%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Stoke City win it was 2-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawLeeds United
21.72% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05) 22.43% (0.0030000000000001 0) 55.85% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 56.2% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.96% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)43.03% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.56% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)65.43% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)33.67% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.67% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)70.32% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.74% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)15.26% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)43.95% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 21.72%
    Leeds United 55.85%
    Draw 22.42%
Stoke CityDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 5.72% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 3.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 21.72%
1-1 @ 10.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.14% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.42%
1-2 @ 9.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 9.66% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 9.08% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 5.69% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.37% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.67% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-5 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 55.85%

How you voted: Stoke vs Leeds

Stoke City
21.6%
Draw
13.5%
Leeds United
64.9%
74
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Leeds
1-0
Stoke
James (33')
Gruev (90+5')

Laurent (37'), Pearson (69')
Pearson (86')
Oct 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Stoke
1-0
Leeds
Struijk (80' og.)
Thompson (62')

Gnonto (68'), Rutter (78'), Summerville (90+2')
Sep 1, 2020 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Stoke
3-0
Leeds
Collins (1'), Gregory (2'), Ince (3')
Jul 9, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 42
Leeds
5-0
Stoke
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Leeds
2-2
Stoke
(Aggregate 2-2 | Stoke win 5-4 on penalties)
Nketiah (67'), Costa (81')
McCalmont (33'), Douglas (90')
Batth (39'), Vokes (44')
Martins Indi (22'), Carter-Vickers (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland28159440221854
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Bristol City2891183533238
10Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds28108104045-538
12Norwich CityNorwich2899104341236
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Portsmouth2778123546-1129
19Stoke CityStoke28610122636-1028
20Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
21Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
22Hull City2868142738-1126
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2849152560-3521


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