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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Stoke logo

Cardiff
2 - 1
Stoke

Etete (5'), Grant (32')
Ng (40'), Siopis (51'), Ralls (76'), Goutas (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bae (41')
Thompson (45+2'), Burger (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-0 Blackburn
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Coventry
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-1 Stoke City

Cardiff's season is beginning to stagnate following a worrying run of results, and we cannot envisage a change in the Bluebirds' fortunes on Saturday. Stoke have been more competitive in matches recently under Schumacher, and we believe that the Potters will be good enough to return to Staffordshire with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Cardiff City has a probability of 31.55% and a draw has a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Cardiff City win is 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.7%).

Result
Cardiff CityDrawStoke City
31.55% (-0.18 -0.18) 26.76% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 41.69% (0.2 0.2)
Both teams to score 50.77% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.85% (0.034999999999997 0.03)54.14% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.44% (0.030000000000001 0.03)75.56% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (-0.107 -0.11)31.73% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.84% (-0.122 -0.12)68.16% (0.12 0.12)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (0.11999999999999 0.12)25.63% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.48% (0.16699999999999 0.17)60.52% (-0.169 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 31.55%
    Stoke City 41.69%
    Draw 26.75%
Cardiff CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.36% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 31.55%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.75%
0-1 @ 11.07% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.65% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.54% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.93% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.42% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 41.69%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Stoke

Cardiff City
39.5%
Draw
34.9%
Stoke City
25.6%
43
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Stoke
0-0
Cardiff
McNally (42')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Cardiff
1-1
Stoke
Kaba (29')
Laurent (16')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stoke
2-2
Cardiff
Campbell (11'), Delap (18')
Wintle (6'), Robinson (58')
Mar 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Cardiff
2-1
Stoke
Doyle (39'), Hugill (43')
Hugill (68')
Baker (23')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Stoke
3-3
Cardiff
Brown (9'), Fletcher (16', 46')
Wilmot (62'), Souttar (64'), Surridge (83')
Colwill (66'), Harris (70'), Moore (71')
Nelson (39'), Bacuna (57'), Harris (89')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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