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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Stoke logo

Cardiff
2 - 1
Stoke

Etete (5'), Grant (32')
Ng (40'), Siopis (51'), Ralls (76'), Goutas (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bae (41')
Thompson (45+2'), Burger (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-0 Blackburn
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Coventry
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-1 Stoke City

Cardiff's season is beginning to stagnate following a worrying run of results, and we cannot envisage a change in the Bluebirds' fortunes on Saturday. Stoke have been more competitive in matches recently under Schumacher, and we believe that the Potters will be good enough to return to Staffordshire with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Cardiff City has a probability of 31.55% and a draw has a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Cardiff City win is 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.7%).

Result
Cardiff CityDrawStoke City
31.55% (-0.18 -0.18) 26.76% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 41.69% (0.2 0.2)
Both teams to score 50.77% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.85% (0.034999999999997 0.03)54.14% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.44% (0.030000000000001 0.03)75.56% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (-0.107 -0.11)31.73% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.84% (-0.122 -0.12)68.16% (0.12 0.12)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (0.11999999999999 0.12)25.63% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.48% (0.16699999999999 0.17)60.52% (-0.169 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 31.55%
    Stoke City 41.69%
    Draw 26.75%
Cardiff CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.36% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 31.55%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.75%
0-1 @ 11.07% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.65% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.54% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.93% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.42% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 41.69%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Stoke

Cardiff City
Draw
Stoke City
Cardiff City
39.5%
Draw
34.9%
Stoke City
25.6%
43
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Stoke
0-0
Cardiff
McNally (42')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Cardiff
1-1
Stoke
Kaba (29')
Laurent (16')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stoke
2-2
Cardiff
Campbell (11'), Delap (18')
Wintle (6'), Robinson (58')
Mar 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Cardiff
2-1
Stoke
Doyle (39'), Hugill (43')
Hugill (68')
Baker (23')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Stoke
3-3
Cardiff
Brown (9'), Fletcher (16', 46')
Wilmot (62'), Souttar (64'), Surridge (83')
Colwill (66'), Harris (70'), Moore (71')
Nelson (39'), Bacuna (57'), Harris (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds442713489296094
2Burnley442616261154694
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd442771060352586
4Sunderland4421131058411776
5Bristol City441716115749867
6Coventry CityCoventry44199166257566
7Middlesbrough441891764541063
8Millwall441712154546-163
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn44188185046462
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom441418125244860
11Swansea CitySwansea44179184852-460
12Watford44168205158-756
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds441511185867-956
14Norwich CityNorwich441314176766153
15Queens Park RangersQPR441314175258-653
16Portsmouth441410205669-1352
17Stoke CityStoke441214184560-1550
18Preston North EndPreston441019154555-1049
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd441213194462-1849
20Hull City441212204352-948
21Derby CountyDerby441210224756-946
22Luton TownLuton441210224164-2346
23Cardiff CityCardiff44916194669-2343
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441013214885-3743


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