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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Cardiff City has a probability of 31.55% and a draw has a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Cardiff City win is 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.7%).
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Stoke City |
31.55% ( -0.18) | 26.76% ( -0.02) | 41.69% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 50.77% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.85% ( 0.03) | 54.14% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.44% ( 0.03) | 75.56% ( -0.03) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.26% ( -0.11) | 31.73% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.84% ( -0.12) | 68.16% ( 0.12) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.37% ( 0.12) | 25.63% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.48% ( 0.17) | 60.52% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 31.55% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 41.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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