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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Leeds logo

Stoke
1 - 0
Leeds

Struijk (80' og.)
Thompson (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gnonto (68'), Rutter (78'), Summerville (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-3 Leeds
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Leeds United

Stoke City are bound to take some confidence from their return to winning ways at the weekend, but they face a Leeds United side who have an abundance of confidence and momentum. The Whites now look to be making their quality count under Farke, and we fancy them to make it four straight Championship wins on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawLeeds United
38.74% (-0.656 -0.66) 25.1% (0.417 0.42) 36.15% (0.23500000000001 0.24)
Both teams to score 57.34% (-1.473 -1.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.83% (-1.917 -1.92)46.17% (1.913 1.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.53% (-1.837 -1.84)68.46% (1.831 1.83)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.42% (-1.185 -1.19)23.57% (1.182 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.36% (-1.741 -1.74)57.64% (1.737 1.74)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (-0.756 -0.76)24.96% (0.75 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39% (-1.059 -1.06)59.61% (1.055 1.06)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 38.74%
    Leeds United 36.15%
    Draw 25.1%
Stoke CityDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.391 0.39)
2-0 @ 6.14% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.196 -0.2)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 38.74%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.89% (0.463 0.46)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.1%
1-2 @ 8.19% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 8.17% (0.477 0.48)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.213 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.79% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 36.15%

How you voted: Stoke vs Leeds

Stoke City
12.8%
Draw
8.5%
Leeds United
78.7%
47
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2020 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Stoke
3-0
Leeds
Collins (1'), Gregory (2'), Ince (3')
Jul 9, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 42
Leeds
5-0
Stoke
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Leeds
2-2
Stoke
Stoke win 5-4 on penalties
Nketiah (67'), Costa (81')
McCalmont (33'), Douglas (90')
Batth (39'), Vokes (44')
Martins Indi (22'), Carter-Vickers (60')
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-3
Leeds
Dallas (42'), Alioski (50'), Bamford (66')
Nketiah (80'), Phillips (90+4')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 28
Stoke
2-1
Leeds
Clucas (49'), Allen (88')
Adam (58')
Alioski (90')
Forshaw (17'), Jansson (19'), Hernandez (63')
Jansson (76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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