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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Leeds logo

Stoke
1 - 0
Leeds

Struijk (80' og.)
Thompson (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gnonto (68'), Rutter (78'), Summerville (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-3 Leeds
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Leeds United

Stoke City are bound to take some confidence from their return to winning ways at the weekend, but they face a Leeds United side who have an abundance of confidence and momentum. The Whites now look to be making their quality count under Farke, and we fancy them to make it four straight Championship wins on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawLeeds United
38.74% (-0.656 -0.66) 25.1% (0.417 0.42) 36.15% (0.23500000000001 0.24)
Both teams to score 57.34% (-1.473 -1.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.83% (-1.917 -1.92)46.17% (1.913 1.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.53% (-1.837 -1.84)68.46% (1.831 1.83)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.42% (-1.185 -1.19)23.57% (1.182 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.36% (-1.741 -1.74)57.64% (1.737 1.74)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (-0.756 -0.76)24.96% (0.75 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39% (-1.059 -1.06)59.61% (1.055 1.06)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 38.74%
    Leeds United 36.15%
    Draw 25.1%
Stoke CityDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.391 0.39)
2-0 @ 6.14% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.196 -0.2)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 38.74%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.89% (0.463 0.46)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.1%
1-2 @ 8.19% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 8.17% (0.477 0.48)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.213 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.79% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 36.15%

How you voted: Stoke vs Leeds

Stoke City
12.8%
Draw
8.5%
Leeds United
78.7%
47
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2020 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Stoke
3-0
Leeds
Collins (1'), Gregory (2'), Ince (3')
Jul 9, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 42
Leeds
5-0
Stoke
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Leeds
2-2
Stoke
Stoke win 5-4 on penalties
Nketiah (67'), Costa (81')
McCalmont (33'), Douglas (90')
Batth (39'), Vokes (44')
Martins Indi (22'), Carter-Vickers (60')
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-3
Leeds
Dallas (42'), Alioski (50'), Bamford (66')
Nketiah (80'), Phillips (90+4')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 28
Stoke
2-1
Leeds
Clucas (49'), Allen (88')
Adam (58')
Alioski (90')
Forshaw (17'), Jansson (19'), Hernandez (63')
Jansson (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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