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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Leeds United |
38.74% ( -0.66) | 25.1% ( 0.42) | 36.15% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 57.34% ( -1.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.83% ( -1.92) | 46.17% ( 1.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.53% ( -1.84) | 68.46% ( 1.83) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.42% ( -1.19) | 23.57% ( 1.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.36% ( -1.74) | 57.64% ( 1.74) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.03% ( -0.76) | 24.96% ( 0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.39% ( -1.06) | 59.61% ( 1.06) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Leeds United |
2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.07% Total : 38.74% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.46) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.1% | 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.48) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 36.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 29 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 25 |
4 | Burnley | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Watford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Bristol City | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
11 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
15 | Hull City | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
17 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 9 |
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