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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Swansea logo

Luton
1 - 0
Swansea

Morris (39')
Clark (49'), Woodrow (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cundle (28'), Cooper (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 2-2 Millwall
Tuesday, February 28 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Rotherham
Monday, February 27 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Swansea City

Luton's previous high level has dropped off recently, leaving Edwards desperately in search of more consistency. While we do not expect the Hatters to have things all their own way on Saturday, they should have enough in the tank to edge this encounter by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Luton TownDrawSwansea City
43.11% (0.318 0.32) 25.94% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05) 30.95% (-0.27 -0.27)
Both teams to score 53.08% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.95% (0.11 0.11)51.05% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.09% (0.096 0.1)72.91% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.46% (0.20299999999999 0.2)23.53% (-0.205 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.42% (0.295 0.3)57.58% (-0.297 -0.3)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.42% (-0.133 -0.13)30.58% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.19% (-0.156 -0.16)66.81% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 43.1%
    Swansea City 30.95%
    Draw 25.93%
Luton TownDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.53% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 43.1%
1-1 @ 12.33% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.2% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 8.53% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.31% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.05% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 30.95%

How you voted: Luton vs Swansea

Luton Town
81.5%
Draw
11.1%
Swansea City
7.4%
27
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Swansea
0-1
Luton

Downes (10'), Piroe (90+3')
Cornick (72')
Hylton (34'), Lansbury (75'), Burke (88'), Berry (89')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Luton
3-3
Swansea
Berry (7'), Adebayo (15' pen., 23')
Lansbury (28'), Naismith (47')
Paterson (63'), Ntcham (86'), Piroe (90+1')
Manning (28')
Mar 13, 2021 12.15pm
Luton
0-1
Swansea
Hourihane (3')
Naughton (28'), Bennett (45+9'), Woodman (56'), Roberts (65')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Swansea
2-0
Luton
Roberts (2'), Ayew (90')
Roberts (45')

Rea (52'), Pearson (59')
Pearson (69')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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