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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Bristol City

Luton
1 - 0
Bristol City

Morris (4')
Morris (34'), Berry (62'), Bell (78'), Adebayo (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vyner (51'), Pring (64'), Sykes (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-1 Luton
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-0 Bristol City

Expectation is building at Luton, something which could either boost or destabilise their promotion bid. On this occasion, we feel that it will be the former as we expect the Hatters to put on a professional display, motivated to improve in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 49.95%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Luton TownDrawBristol City
49.95% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07) 25.95% (0.103 0.1) 24.1% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 48.14% (-0.328 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.89% (-0.409 -0.41)55.11% (0.411 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.64% (-0.339 -0.34)76.36% (0.342 0.34)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.89% (-0.199 -0.2)22.11% (0.201 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.53% (-0.301 -0.3)55.47% (0.303 0.3)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.8% (-0.261 -0.26)38.2% (0.263 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.04% (-0.25 -0.25)74.96% (0.25200000000001 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 49.94%
    Bristol City 24.1%
    Draw 25.95%
Luton TownDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 12.74% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 9.62% (0.038 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 49.94%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.45% (0.134 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.13% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.9% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 24.1%

How you voted: Luton vs Bristol City

Luton Town
64.5%
Draw
17.7%
Bristol City
17.7%
62
Head to Head
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Bristol City
2-0
Luton
Wells (5'), Conway (27')
Wells (61'), Weimann (67')
Sykes (67')

Freeman (67'), Bradley (67')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Luton
2-1
Bristol City
Lockyer (42'), Adebayo (68')
Berry (24'), Kioso (90+6')
Weimann (56')
Semenyo (62'), Pring (67')
Sep 15, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
1-1
Luton
Baker (57')
Pring (37')
Hylton (90+1')
Lansbury (84'), Bree (88')
Apr 25, 2021 1pm
Bristol City
2-3
Luton
Wells (31'), Nagy (38')
Collins (59'), Adebayo (68'), Cornick (74')
Dec 29, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Swansea CitySwansea732285311
10Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall7223121028
16Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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