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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Luton Town

Sunderland
1 - 1
Luton

Diallo (86' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Doughty (51')
Lockyer (36'), Adebayo (81'), Woodrow (81'), Morris (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Sheff Utd
Wednesday, March 15 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Bristol City
Wednesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 0-2 Luton Town

Luton Town are full of momentum with their sights set on cracking the top three, while Sunderland are far from their best and low on confidence, and we envisage another victory for Edwards's side as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
SunderlandDrawLuton Town
32.42% (-0.82 -0.82) 27.23% (-0.216 -0.22) 40.35% (1.034 1.03)
Both teams to score 49.61% (0.445 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.24% (0.65799999999999 0.66)55.76% (-0.658 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.11% (0.533 0.53)76.89% (-0.535 -0.53)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (-0.22200000000001 -0.22)31.96% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59% (-0.253 -0.25)68.41% (0.25200000000001 0.25)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (0.88800000000001 0.89)27.1% (-0.889 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.52% (1.145 1.15)62.48% (-1.146 -1.15)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 32.42%
    Luton Town 40.34%
    Draw 27.23%
SunderlandDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 9.88% (-0.312 -0.31)
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.63% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-1 @ 2.8% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.14% (-0.095 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 32.42%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.66% (-0.222 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 11.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.42% (0.155 0.15)
0-2 @ 7.38% (0.18 0.18)
1-3 @ 3.67% (0.156 0.16)
0-3 @ 3.21% (0.156 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.077 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.08 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 40.34%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Luton

Sunderland
30.0%
Draw
15.0%
Luton Town
55.0%
40
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Sunderland
1-1
Luton
Maguire (16')
Flanagan (45'), James (75')
Maguire (90')
Collins (67' pen.)
Lee (45'), Shinnie (62'), Collins (80'), McCormack (90')
Hylton (70')
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
Luton
1-1
Sunderland
Pearson (68')
McCormack (56'), Grant (60')
Maja (45')
Matthews (20'), Baldwin (61'), Loovens (90')
May 6, 2007 3pm
Luton
0-5
Sunderland

Coyne (43'), Idrizaj (45'), Keane (85'), Brkovic (89')
Murphy (6', 46'), Stokes (4')
Stokes (26'), Evans (55'), Collins (81')
Dec 9, 2006 3pm
Sunderland
2-1
Luton
Connolly (53'), Murphy (9')
Morgan (5')
Brkovic (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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