Championship

Championship | Gameweek 38

Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
1 - 1
Luton

Diallo (86' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Doughty (51')
Lockyer (36'), Adebayo (81'), Woodrow (81'), Morris (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions

Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Sheff Utd
Wednesday, March 15 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 1-0 Bristol City
Wednesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sunderland 0-2 Luton Town

Luton Town are full of momentum with their sights set on cracking the top three, while Sunderland are far from their best and low on confidence, and we envisage another victory for Edwards's side as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Luton Town
32.42% ( -0.82)	27.23% ( -0.22)	40.35% ( 1.03)

Both teams to score 49.61% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.24% (

0.66)

55.76% (

-0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.11% (

0.53)

76.89% (

-0.53)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.04% (

-0.22)

31.96% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.59% (

-0.25)

68.41% (

0.25)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.91% (

0.89)

27.1% (

-0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.52% (

1.15)

62.48% (

-1.15)

Score Analysis

Sunderland 32.42%

Luton Town 40.34%

Draw 27.23%

Sunderland	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 32.42%	1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.23%	0-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.02% Total : 40.34%