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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Luton Town |
32.42% ( -0.82) | 27.23% ( -0.22) | 40.35% ( 1.03) |
Both teams to score 49.61% ( 0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.24% ( 0.66) | 55.76% ( -0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.11% ( 0.53) | 76.89% ( -0.53) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.04% ( -0.22) | 31.96% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.59% ( -0.25) | 68.41% ( 0.25) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.91% ( 0.89) | 27.1% ( -0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.52% ( 1.15) | 62.48% ( -1.15) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 32.42% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.02% Total : 40.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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