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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Luton Town

Sunderland
1 - 1
Luton

Diallo (86' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Doughty (51')
Lockyer (36'), Adebayo (81'), Woodrow (81'), Morris (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Sheff Utd
Wednesday, March 15 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Bristol City
Wednesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 0-2 Luton Town

Luton Town are full of momentum with their sights set on cracking the top three, while Sunderland are far from their best and low on confidence, and we envisage another victory for Edwards's side as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
SunderlandDrawLuton Town
32.42% (-0.82 -0.82) 27.23% (-0.216 -0.22) 40.35% (1.034 1.03)
Both teams to score 49.61% (0.445 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.24% (0.65799999999999 0.66)55.76% (-0.658 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.11% (0.533 0.53)76.89% (-0.535 -0.53)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (-0.22200000000001 -0.22)31.96% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59% (-0.253 -0.25)68.41% (0.25200000000001 0.25)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (0.88800000000001 0.89)27.1% (-0.889 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.52% (1.145 1.15)62.48% (-1.146 -1.15)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 32.42%
    Luton Town 40.34%
    Draw 27.23%
SunderlandDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 9.88% (-0.312 -0.31)
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.63% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-1 @ 2.8% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.14% (-0.095 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 32.42%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.66% (-0.222 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 11.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.42% (0.155 0.15)
0-2 @ 7.38% (0.18 0.18)
1-3 @ 3.67% (0.156 0.16)
0-3 @ 3.21% (0.156 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.077 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.08 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 40.34%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Luton

Sunderland
30.0%
Draw
15.0%
Luton Town
55.0%
40
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Sunderland
1-1
Luton
Maguire (16')
Flanagan (45'), James (75')
Maguire (90')
Collins (67' pen.)
Lee (45'), Shinnie (62'), Collins (80'), McCormack (90')
Hylton (70')
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
Luton
1-1
Sunderland
Pearson (68')
McCormack (56'), Grant (60')
Maja (45')
Matthews (20'), Baldwin (61'), Loovens (90')
May 6, 2007 3pm
Luton
0-5
Sunderland

Coyne (43'), Idrizaj (45'), Keane (85'), Brkovic (89')
Murphy (6', 46'), Stokes (4')
Stokes (26'), Evans (55'), Collins (81')
Dec 9, 2006 3pm
Sunderland
2-1
Luton
Connolly (53'), Murphy (9')
Morgan (5')
Brkovic (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd39267656292783
2Leeds UnitedLeeds392312478275181
3Burnley392215253114281
4Sunderland392012756371972
5Coventry CityCoventry39178145651559
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom391318848351357
7Middlesbrough391691459491057
8Bristol City391415104942757
9Watford39158164751-453
10Norwich CityNorwich391313136154752
11Blackburn RoversBlackburn39157174241152
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds391410155460-652
13Millwall391312143740-351
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR391112164553-845
16Swansea CitySwansea39129184051-1145
17Portsmouth39129184761-1445
18Stoke CityStoke391012174052-1242
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd391012174057-1742
20Hull City391011183948-941
21Cardiff CityCardiff39913174363-2040
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton39108213560-2538
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth39713194077-3734


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