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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Burnley logo

Luton
0 - 1
Burnley


Lockyer (77'), Adebayo (80')
Lockyer (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Barnes (78' pen.)
Brownhill (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 1-1 Luton
Wednesday, February 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Watford
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 0-2 Burnley

Luton are hunting for a top six place this season but will still regard this clash with Burnley as a free hit, highlighting how good Kompany's men are proving to be this term. The Clarets will be energised by their late equaliser against Watford last time out and should be able to earn three points in this one, even if the defence is slightly makeshift. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawBurnley
37.06% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 26.53% (0.049999999999997 0.05) 36.41% (-0.146 -0.15)
Both teams to score 52.46% (-0.17 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.58% (-0.211 -0.21)52.42% (0.213 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.9% (-0.182 -0.18)74.1% (0.18300000000001 0.18)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)27.38% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.15% (-0.058 -0.06)62.85% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.24% (-0.187 -0.19)27.76% (0.189 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.67% (-0.242 -0.24)63.33% (0.244 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 37.06%
    Burnley 36.41%
    Draw 26.52%
Luton TownDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 9.84% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.38% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.75% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 37.06%
1-1 @ 12.61% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.6% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 9.74% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.24% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.46% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 36.41%

How you voted: Luton vs Burnley

Luton Town
19.4%
Draw
17.9%
Burnley
62.7%
67
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Burnley
1-1
Luton
Brownhill (50')
Barnes (89'), Roberts (90+4')
Potts (5')
Morris (66')
Mar 31, 2007 3pm
Oct 31, 2006 3pm
Luton
0-2
Burnley
Gray (31', 36')
Foster (22'), Elliott (51')
Foster (73')
Apr 30, 2006 3pm
Burnley
1-1
Luton
Lafferty (78')
Vine (42')
Brkovic (67'), Barnett (90')
Nov 5, 2005 3pm
Luton
2-3
Burnley
Howard (43'), Feeney (60')
Barnett (54')
Akinbiyi (15', 31', 54')
Jensen (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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