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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Sunderland

Luton
1 - 2
Sunderland

Adebayo (63')
Holmes (90+8'), O'Nien (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rigg (55'), Mundle (66')
Rigg (29'), Patterson (74'), Bellingham (90+8'), Morris (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 3-0 Watford
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Sunderland
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Sunderland

Following their thumping of Watford on the weekend, Luton should be confident of recording a positive result under the lights at Kenilworth Road once again, despite the league leaders being in town. Sunderland cruised to victory over Hull last time out, although we believe that the Hatters will be more of a nuisance, leading to a share of the spoils in Bedfordshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawSunderland
35.39% (1.879 1.88) 25.83% (0.604 0.6) 38.77% (-2.49 -2.49)
Both teams to score 54.7% (-1.681 -1.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.46% (-2.336 -2.34)49.53% (2.329 2.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.43% (-2.135 -2.14)71.56% (2.129 2.13)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (0.012999999999991 0.01)26.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (0.019999999999996 0.02)62.33% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (-2.322 -2.32)25.07% (2.315 2.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (-3.316 -3.32)59.76% (3.309 3.31)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 35.39%
    Sunderland 38.77%
    Draw 25.83%
Luton TownDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 8.86% (0.817 0.82)
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.233 0.23)
2-0 @ 5.81% (0.538 0.54)
3-1 @ 3.51% (0.103 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.236 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 35.39%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.35 0.35)
0-0 @ 6.77% (0.621 0.62)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 9.36% (0.263 0.26)
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.334 -0.33)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.259 -0.26)
1-3 @ 3.91% (-0.439 -0.44)
0-3 @ 2.99% (-0.336 -0.34)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.286 -0.29)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.257 -0.26)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.197 -0.2)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 38.77%

How you voted: Luton vs Sunderland

Luton Town
41.2%
Draw
22.4%
Sunderland
36.5%
85
Head to Head
May 16, 2023 8pm
Luton
2-0
Sunderland
Osho (10'), Lockyer (43')
Clark (18'), Ruddock (90+4')

O'Nien (30'), Alese (90+5')
May 13, 2023 5.30pm
Sunderland
2-1
Luton
Diallo (39'), Hume (63')
Neill (16'), O'Nien (30'), Diallo (84')
Adebayo (11')
Nakamba (29'), Ruddock (38'), Doughty (73'), Clark (77')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Sunderland
1-1
Luton
Diallo (86' pen.)
Doughty (51')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Luton
1-1
Sunderland
Morris (45+2')
Embleton (78')
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 28
Sunderland
1-1
Luton
Maguire (16')
Flanagan (45'), James (75')
Maguire (90')
Collins (67' pen.)
Lee (45'), Shinnie (62'), Collins (80'), McCormack (90')
Hylton (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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