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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Luton
1 - 0
Cardiff

Adebayo (88')
Doughty (49'), Adebayo (58'), Morris (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ralls (45+1'), McGuinness (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-0 Cardiff City

Although Cardiff do have a new manager in charge we believe that there has not been ample time for Sabri Lamouchi to have a sufficient impact on his side through coaching and they will fall short despite showing signs of improvement against Luton. We think Cardiff will still lack a goal threat in forward areas and that Luton will eventually break the deadlock and win this game 2-0. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Luton TownDrawCardiff City
57.01% (1.289 1.29) 23.3% (-0.72 -0.72) 19.69% (-0.57 -0.57)
Both teams to score 50.29% (1.274 1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.62% (2.155 2.16)49.38% (-2.156 -2.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.57% (1.907 1.91)71.42% (-1.909 -1.91)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (1.259 1.26)17.09% (-1.261 -1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.71% (2.179 2.18)47.29% (-2.182 -2.18)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.66% (0.625 0.63)39.34% (-0.627 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.96% (0.577 0.58)76.04% (-0.58 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 57%
    Cardiff City 19.69%
    Draw 23.3%
Luton TownDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 11.87% (-0.56 -0.56)
2-0 @ 10.49% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 6.18% (0.22 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.3 0.3)
4-0 @ 2.73% (0.204 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.184 0.18)
4-1 @ 2.55% (0.23 0.23)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.125 0.13)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 57%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.612 -0.61)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.3%
0-1 @ 6.27% (-0.454 -0.45)
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.065 0.07)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 19.69%

How you voted: Luton vs Cardiff

Luton Town
80.0%
Draw
11.7%
Cardiff City
8.3%
120
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Luton
1-2
Cardiff
Clark (64')
Rea (42')
Colwill (10'), Morrison (77')
Morrison (38'), Smithies (85')
Feb 16, 2021 8.15pm
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Cardiff
4-0
Luton
Morrison (5'), Harris (9'), Moore (59'), Ojo (83')
Nelson (4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Swansea CitySwansea732285311
10Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall7223121028
16Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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