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Championship header 2

Championship
Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 35
Feb 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road
Derby logo

Luton
1 - 0
Derby

Hylton (67')
Burke (52'), Jerome (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kazim-Richards (77'), Ebiowei (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Derby County

 While Derby have continuously battled against the odds this season, they meet a Luton side full of confidence, and we do not see them leaving Kenilworth Road with anything on Saturday. Jones's men are operating at the peak of their powers and, with a laser focus set on the playoff places, they will be gunning for another victory on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 21.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Luton TownDrawDerby County
52.05%25.99%21.95%
Both teams to score 45.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.93%57.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.05%77.95%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.99%22.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.67%55.32%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.62%41.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.11%77.88%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 52.05%
    Derby County 21.95%
    Draw 25.98%
Luton TownDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 13.78%
2-0 @ 10.43%
2-1 @ 9.21%
3-0 @ 5.26%
3-1 @ 4.65%
3-2 @ 2.05%
4-0 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 52.05%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 9.11%
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 25.98%
0-1 @ 8.04%
1-2 @ 5.37%
0-2 @ 3.55%
1-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.2%
0-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 21.95%

How you voted: Luton vs Derby

Luton Town
68.6%
Draw
17.1%
Derby County
14.3%
35
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Derby
2-2
Luton
Lawrence (20'), Knight (60')
Lawrence (90+2')
Onyedinma (49'), Adebayo (84')
Naismith (14'), Ruddock (90+2')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Derby
2-0
Luton
Gregory (7'), Shinnie (49' pen.)
Wisdom (47'), Sibley (51'), Byrne (66'), Kazim-Richards (90+5')

Dewsbury-Hall (66'), Pearson (81')
> Match Report
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Luton
2-1
Derby
Berry (34'), Clark (87')
Norrington-Davies (22'), Ruddock (90+4')
Marriott (52')
> Match Report
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Luton
3-2
Derby
Ruddock (67'), Daniels (74'), Bogle (86' og.)
Ruddock (70')
Mark Rooney (63'), Martin (85')
Bogle (23'), Hamer (88'), Rooney (88'), Wisdom (94')
Lowe (88')
> Match Report
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 11
Derby
2-0
Luton
Pearson (11' og.), Lawrence (70')
Shinnie (76')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318
> Championship Full Table


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